WNBA · resolved market

Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x060d7f0175270020a957f8ab75b11370d4a8762d26d93f74e133a7acea4a4f57

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $189,254
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $189,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,254 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over	49c	139,657$67,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71,753.12	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under	51c	129,975$66,787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66,787.25	89	37.1%33 W · 56 L	-8.9wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	52c	17,524$9,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,141.73	1,765	51.7%912 W · 853 L	+53.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	48c	9,956$4,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,175.69	995	48.1%479 W · 516 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under	52c	8,546$4,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,446.36	269	53.2%143 W · 126 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b6…ca29backed Over	47c	8,430$3,962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,467.88	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.7wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under	52c	8,320$4,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,326.4	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over	47c	5,281$2,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,799.09	130	48.5%63 W · 67 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd747…076cbacked Over	48c	3,646$1,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,895.83	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	51c	3,281$1,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,673.48	405	50.9%206 W · 199 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over	48c	3,083$1,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,603.33	114	57.9%66 W · 48 L	+9.4wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	26c	1,970$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.78	371	41.2%153 W · 218 L	-13.3wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	48c	1,537$738 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799.23	893	49.4%441 W · 452 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d59…f7e5backed Under	53c	1,434$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.86	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6387…95dcbacked Under	53c	1,354$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$718.96	15	86.7%13 W · 2 L	+5.0wins	+0.33per pick	54cpaid	+61.5%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under	52c	888$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.76	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under	53c	819.25$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.2	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ceb…b821backed Over	46c	700$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over	74c	675.68$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.68	610	42.5%259 W · 351 L	-31.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	45c	592.96$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.26	749	42.3%317 W · 432 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe079…a06fbacked Under	54c	564.24$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.79	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+3.0wins	+0.34per pick	55cpaid	+60.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	47c	529$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.09	286	47.9%137 W · 149 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0db0…dcffbacked Under	54c	505.09$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.33	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over	47c	443.98$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.31	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	47c	385.59$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.97	462	47%217 W · 245 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	74c	334.75$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.18	509	52.5%267 W · 242 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	52c	271.12$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.98	327	50.2%164 W · 163 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	52c	207.94$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.97	320	49.4%158 W · 162 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over	47c	199.58$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.11	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-5.2wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Under	53c	160.7$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.64	100	50%50 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	46c	150$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	837	48.1%403 W · 434 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under	55c	150$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	364	54.1%197 W · 167 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	51c	150$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.11	306	49%150 W · 156 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Over	38c	150$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93	98	27.6%27 W · 71 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	53c	147.94$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.27	411	45.7%188 W · 223 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over	48c	145.83$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.83	285	58.6%167 W · 118 L	+20.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24f5…36aebacked Under	55c	134.73$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79e0…7d6fbacked Under	14c	130.93$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.33	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Under	52c	125$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1d…a01abacked Under	53c	122.64$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under	53c	112.98$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.88	112	42.9%48 W · 64 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over	46c	106$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.24	307	34.2%105 W · 202 L	-28.2wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x68aa…0f92backed Over	49c	104.08$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.08	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Over	43c	100$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	50c	99.23$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.51	1,611	50.2%809 W · 802 L	+37.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under	51c	94$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.53	132	56.8%75 W · 57 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Under	52c	87.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.76	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over	46c	80$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.2	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over	49c	76.1$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.02	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over	54c	71.53$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.85	378	50%189 W · 189 L	+9.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under	52c	71.33$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.4	173	43.9%76 W · 97 L	-8.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Over	46c	67.66$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.82	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df1…a3e2backed Under	59c	66.66$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Over	78c	66.59$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.46	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under	53c	60.11$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.86	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	46c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2715…56dbbacked Under	54c	54.89$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed Over	45c	53.33$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.33	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under	62c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	314	48.4%152 W · 162 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea5…6c53backed Under	58c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under	62c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	239	55.2%132 W · 107 L	+12.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Under	52c	48.07$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over	47c	46.82$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.81	712	45.4%323 W · 389 L	-19.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under	56c	45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	243	47.7%116 W · 127 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Over	46c	40.76$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.01	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over	49c	40.12$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.46	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Over	46c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbe3…6599backed Under	53c	39.56$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.14	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x014f…7edbbacked Under	53c	38.89$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.61	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffc2…c69abacked Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d0…8c73backed Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	49c	37.5$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	237	46.4%110 W · 127 L	-10.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under	53c	36.26$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.19	144	50%72 W · 72 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	47c	35.37$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.75	179	46.9%84 W · 95 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e31…cf94backed Under	55c	32.04$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x335a…e3eebacked Under	53c	31.47$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	45c	28.66$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.76	922	48.8%450 W · 472 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x748b…179cbacked Under	53c	27.77$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7273…aeb0backed Under	53c	27.6$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Under	52c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ae…5310backed Under	53c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.6	98	51%50 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	57c	18.06$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.29	615	47%289 W · 326 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Over	76c	16$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.84	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5this page
Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles SparksAtlanta Dream won
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5Over won
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5Over won
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5Over won
Naz Hillmon: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.5No won
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event