WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78fd812639ddd9398c808e521b87042881e35637d438e2bea9db0edb63c838c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Atlanta Dream | 47c | 4,833$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.39 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 3,505$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.65 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 1,795$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.58 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 23c | 1,787$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.52 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 1,663$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.39 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 1c | 1,368$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 888$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.64 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 64c | 753.13$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.09 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 32c | 619.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 457.29$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Los Angeles Sparks | 30c | 410.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Atlanta Dream | 60c | 363$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Dream | 67c | 299$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Dream | 66c | 283.21$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 267.48$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 40c | 212.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1676backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 182$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 138$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Atlanta Dream | 78c | 130.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 126.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Atlanta Dream | 78c | 123.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atlanta Dream | 74c | 99.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 96.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Los Angeles Sparks | 54c | 81.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 35c | 80.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Los Angeles Sparks | 16c | 78.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…4338backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Atlanta Dream | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…eeedbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 34.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa250…b806backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 33.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Atlanta Dream | 47c | 30.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Atlanta Dream | 68c | 29.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 28.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 27.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…6599backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 27.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Atlanta Dream | 48c | 26.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Atlanta Dream | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Atlanta Dream | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Atlanta Dream | 67c | 14.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)this page
- Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles SparksAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5Over won
- Naz Hillmon: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.