WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40cb2418770769deea04717a2ee7e8a39057cb3dc80581e8bfcf043132a72833
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Atlanta Dream | 57c | 5,512$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.13 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Atlanta Dream | 68c | 2,349$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.19 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 29c | 1,709$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.32 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 42c | 1,445$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.26 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 1,221$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.32 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 1,167$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.91 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 1,125$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.07 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 751$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.95 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Atlanta Dream | 56c | 738.42$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.91 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Los Angeles Sparks | 43c | 537.16$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 41c | 455.15$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.61 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Los Angeles Sparks | 43c | 348.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 20c | 308.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 276$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 43c | 256$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 171.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 134.18$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 104.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Atlanta Dream | 67c | 89.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Los Angeles Sparks | 42c | 88.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Atlanta Dream | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 68.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 58.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 24c | 53.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Los Angeles Sparks | 43c | 52.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 44.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x492a…46aebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 43c | 43.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Atlanta Dream | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 41.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 40.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Atlanta Dream | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Atlanta Dream | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 32.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 45c | 31.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 25.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…966bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 25.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)this page
- Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles SparksAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5Over won
- Naz Hillmon: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.