WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x042bfd6b6f1db79dd307229644bdda8c81e5d738fc33770f1c8781d97afadadf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 31c | 2,713$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.92 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 54c | 754$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.84 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 506.07$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.53 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 53c | 443.88$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.62 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…df7fbacked Over | 54c | 358.24$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 201.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…7e67backed Over | 54c | 184.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +56%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 155.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.76 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 148.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 138.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 46c | 103.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…35afbacked Under | 48c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 45c | 66.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 47c | 62.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 57.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 41.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Under | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 47c | 32.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 48c | 29.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 54c | 24.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5this page
- Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles SparksAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5Over won
- Naz Hillmon: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.