WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5451ef3ea7ba4e8078f1e77dbc160561663e64220716e1146d706675860e42f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 13,719$7,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,585.27 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 7,618$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,618.61 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 5,000$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.39 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 4,046$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.08 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 2,894$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 1,791$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 1,656$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.49 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 1,376$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.71 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 1,354$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.26 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 1,334$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.73 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 35c | 1,072$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.66 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 687$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.76 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 492$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.24 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 356.69$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.21 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed Atlanta Dream | 66c | 321.47$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 276$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Atlanta Dream | 54c | 264$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.44 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 232$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…0512backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…3ea6backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…2fc6backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 94.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 70.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 58.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…966bbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 58.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 43.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x492a…46aebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 40.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Los Angeles Sparks | 26c | 39.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 38.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…a648backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Atlanta Dream | 53c | 30.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Dream | 70c | 28.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 24.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)this page
- Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles SparksAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5Over won
- Naz Hillmon: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.