WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a6e3a12b6990db5f217c2bc6084c0b9c5fc2628604ec8c73a9c5d4988efacea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 57c | 2,736$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.16 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 15c | 1,906$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.62 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 1,679$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.19 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 1,137$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.24 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 47c | 443.6$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.11 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 75c | 284.58$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 50c | 280.44$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 58c | 276.76$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 46c | 275.01$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.47 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 51c | 256.93$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.47 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 40c | 182.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 55c | 181.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.98 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Under | 47c | 164.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 153.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…1755backed Over | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 141.02$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 112.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 111.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 48c | 100.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f04…ea38backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 27c | 88.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 42c | 88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 45c | 75.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…ac3dbacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199c…2515backed Over | 55c | 72.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 53c | 70.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Under | 44c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 45c | 62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 46c | 58.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Under | 44c | 57.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 80c | 56.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 53c | 48.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 43.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 42.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 41.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 55c | 24.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 19.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5this page
- Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles SparksAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5Over won
- Naz Hillmon: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.