WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03dd9430b50105228c7d6026fa2b34b6a62cb42dca459d0eecd6bf9f7733f9b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 19,822$10,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,667.26 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 46c | 15,427$7,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,271.08 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 47c | 8,222$3,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.15 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 45c | 1,418$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.88 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 54c | 1,249$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.71 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 36c | 1,001$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.99 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 41c | 781.96$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1b…ec19backed Under | 56c | 718.45$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…6562backed Under | 47c | 564.04$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 458.09$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.18 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 46c | 446$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.84 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 56c | 435$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.33 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 45c | 394.62$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.04 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 283.91$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.71 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 255.07$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.07 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 45c | 236.24$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.04 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 233$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 45c | 224.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.44 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 44c | 201.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 54c | 200.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 39c | 138.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 43c | 138$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…6872backed Under | 61c | 136.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Under | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 124.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 38c | 115.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 45c | 90.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 55c | 83.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb73d…cc50backed Under | 28c | 63.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Over | 45c | 63.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 42c | 59.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…4338backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…c0b1backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Over | 55c | 48.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 47.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 45c | 43.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 54c | 41.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 55c | 41.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 45c | 31.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…f87cbacked Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 45c | 22.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 54c | 18.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5this page
- Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles SparksAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- Naz Hillmon: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.