WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90d0e991ad9128fe35fd979e4e97a2163fe759c64743d1a8fbb62654a9148358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 7,843$3,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,841.34 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 5,383$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.59 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 49c | 5,368$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.77 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 50c | 3,508$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.13 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 2,512$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.64 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 51c | 2,510$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 2,343$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.49 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 49c | 1,944$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.38 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 1,315$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.1 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 16c | 987.91$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.11 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 49c | 947.17$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.11 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under | 50c | 737$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Under | 7c | 587.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 8c | 356$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 53c | 317$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 51c | 262.39$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.76 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 51c | 256$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 243$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.21 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 50c | 144.79$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 48c | 138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 51c | 97.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 50c | 72.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 52c | 71.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 52c | 66.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…66cdbacked Under | 51c | 53.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 49c | 49.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 53c | 43.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 52c | 33.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2505…8e76backed Under | 62c | 28.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…6198backed Under | 50c | 23.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 52c | 20.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 180.5this page
- Angel Reese: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles SparksAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 177.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 178.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 179.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Over won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5Over won
- Naz Hillmon: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Atlanta Dream won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.