TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79e0…7d6f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.71
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.63
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.2
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.27
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.16
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.74
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+490%+$76.44
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.52
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$57.27
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-64.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchetbacked Ugo Blanchet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
US Open, Qualification ATP: Raul Brancaccio vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Aklibacked Ayana Akli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US Open, Qualification ATP: Mark Lajal vs Jordan Leebacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Quebec City: Taro Daniel vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.82
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+294.7%+$53.69
Quebec City: Benjamin Bonzi vs Luca Van Asschebacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.31
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.97
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+263.4%+$35.58
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$47.51
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-63.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+193.3%+$47.84
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.44
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.54
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.52
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.08
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+102.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CAR (-1.5)backed JAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
49ers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.29
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+709%+$126.56
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.