Tennis · resolved market
Quebec City: Taro Daniel vs Jacob Fearnley
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8b84994ba3b7b3a0bcfac05bfa95561e2bfc52cac7e3a346a78afd98686c4f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taro Danielof Taro Daniel, Jacob Fearnley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Taro Daniel | 33c | 20,964$6,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,975.13 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Taro Daniel | 48c | 15,170$7,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,883.98 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Jacob Fearnley | 67c | 15,005$10,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,053.39 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Jacob Fearnley | 72c | 15,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Jacob Fearnley | 38c | 12,344$4,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,670.12 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Jacob Fearnley | 48c | 8,519$4,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.79 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Jacob Fearnley | 35c | 8,497$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.42 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Taro Daniel | 64c | 5,724$3,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.6 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…5df7backed Jacob Fearnley | 36c | 5,163$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.64 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Taro Daniel | 23c | 4,296$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.82 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Jacob Fearnley | 14c | 3,509$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.28 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Taro Daniel | 35c | 2,113$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.51 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…27d1backed Taro Daniel | 52c | 2,053$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.62 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…38d0backed Jacob Fearnley | 73c | 2,037$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ada…36cfbacked Jacob Fearnley | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Taro Daniel | 36c | 1,661$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.64 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Jacob Fearnley | 40c | 1,546$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.56 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 1,372$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.67 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 1,361$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.33 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Taro Daniel | 17c | 1,353$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.94 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Jacob Fearnley | 4c | 1,248$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Jacob Fearnley | 54c | 1,188$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.4 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jacob Fearnley | 7c | 1,166$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Taro Daniel | 50c | 1,020$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.41 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Jacob Fearnley | 66c | 999.99$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.71 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Jacob Fearnley | 64c | 800$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Jacob Fearnley | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Taro Daniel | 32c | 641.19$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.72 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Taro Daniel | 36c | 628.25$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.08 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Jacob Fearnley | 51c | 610.88$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.16 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Jacob Fearnley | 75c | 603.42$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Taro Daniel | 33c | 600$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.3 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Taro Daniel | 19c | 596$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.86 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Taro Daniel | 33c | 568$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.56 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Taro Daniel | 42c | 481.89$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.44 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Jacob Fearnley | 28c | 479.17$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.68 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Jacob Fearnley | 40c | 403.68$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.71 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Taro Daniel | 80c | 339.22$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d22…2bafbacked Taro Daniel | 35c | 326$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Taro Daniel | 60c | 314.19$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.19 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Jacob Fearnley | 64c | 308.94$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.72 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Jacob Fearnley | 63c | 303.16$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.99 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Taro Daniel | 35c | 300.22$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.76 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jacob Fearnley | 44c | 297.83$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.31 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Taro Daniel | 30c | 296.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.53 | 283 | 48.1%136 W · 147 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Taro Daniel | 36c | 280$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Taro Daniel | 37c | 273.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.08 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Taro Daniel | 53c | 229.11$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.68 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Jacob Fearnley | 25c | 227$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Taro Daniel | 32c | 226.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.31 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Taro Daniel | 51c | 226.22$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.56 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Jacob Fearnley | 64c | 225.63$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Taro Daniel | 36c | 211.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.67 | 306 | 48.4%148 W · 158 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Taro Daniel | 63c | 205.39$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Taro Daniel | 33c | 205$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…0e12backed Jacob Fearnley | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Taro Daniel | 18c | 197.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Jacob Fearnley | 65c | 192.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.91 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Taro Daniel | 35c | 162.69$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Jacob Fearnley | 41c | 161.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.1 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e0…7d6fbacked Jacob Fearnley | 23c | 155.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Jacob Fearnley | 67c | 148.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Jacob Fearnley | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Taro Daniel | 44c | 139.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Jacob Fearnley | 74c | 134.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Taro Daniel | 34c | 134$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Jacob Fearnley | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Taro Daniel | 20c | 120$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Jacob Fearnley | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Taro Daniel | 21c | 106.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Taro Daniel | 44c | 102.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.38 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Taro Daniel | 33c | 100.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Taro Daniel | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fab…3cabbacked Jacob Fearnley | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Jacob Fearnley | 34c | 86.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Taro Daniel | 21c | 86.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Taro Daniel | 56c | 85.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Taro Daniel | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Taro Daniel | 62c | 82.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jacob Fearnley | 47c | 80.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Taro Daniel | 58c | 79.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Taro Daniel | 61c | 78.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Jacob Fearnley | 67c | 74.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Taro Daniel | 26c | 73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a34…92cdbacked Jacob Fearnley | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Taro Daniel | 53c | 69.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Taro Daniel | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Taro Daniel | 34c | 66.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Taro Daniel | 31c | 60.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Taro Daniel | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Taro Daniel | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Jacob Fearnley | 54c | 55.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Jacob Fearnley | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 410 | 45.1%185 W · 225 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Jacob Fearnley | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Taro Daniel | 30c | 49.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Taro Daniel | 59c | 47.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Taro Daniel | 63c | 41.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…25a8backed Taro Daniel | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Jacob Fearnley | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Taro Daniel | 35c | 39.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Quebec City: Taro Daniel vs Jacob Fearnleythis page
- Set Handicap: Fearnley (-1.5) vs Daniel (+1.5)Daniel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.