TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8a34…92cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick71cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Quebec City: Hugo Gaston vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$82.94
Quebec City: Taro Daniel vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Quebec City: Zizou Bergs vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$61.41
Cancun: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Francisco Comesanabacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Lois Boissonbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+29%+$115.9
Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,252.51
Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime Fariabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.48
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Cincinnati Open: Elise Mertens vs Diane Parrybacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Tatjana Mariabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$16.48
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$7.1
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+93.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Jaguarsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+52%+$57.19
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+327.3%+$196.36
Jaguars vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+31%+$5.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$31.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.