NFL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e7305a1f44489eef9e70149dfd664891c5a9b68f6bef49bd8a446cdeffded1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Panthers, Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Jaguars | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,799.97 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Jaguars | 46c | 27,350$12,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,649 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Jaguars | 36c | 24,543$8,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,884.91 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Panthers | 54c | 23,798$12,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,969.1 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…1db5backed Panthers | 56c | 22,592$12,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,985.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Panthers | 52c | 21,668$11,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,460.23 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Panthers | 66c | 15,913$10,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,412.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Panthers | 76c | 12,933$9,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Panthers | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Jaguars | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.01 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Jaguars | 44c | 6,376$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.29 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Jaguars | 18c | 5,723$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.53 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Jaguars | 47c | 5,711$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.08 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Jaguars | 35c | 4,244$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jaguars | 48c | 4,047$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.49 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Panthers | 54c | 3,159$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Panthers | 54c | 2,927$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.75 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Jaguars | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Jaguars | 45c | 2,416$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Jaguars | 51c | 2,405$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.25 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jaguars | 44c | 2,271$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Jaguars | 46c | 2,092$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.14 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Panthers | 74c | 2,030$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.13 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked Jaguars | 55c | 1,973$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jaguars | 8c | 1,972$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Jaguars | 59c | 1,951$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.99 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Jaguars | 46c | 1,938$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.2 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Panthers | 45c | 1,908$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.01 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jaguars | 22c | 1,802$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.24 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Panthers | 54c | 1,747$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.44 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Panthers | 55c | 1,627$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.3 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Panthers | 79c | 1,479$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.47 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Jaguars | 28c | 1,391$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Panthers | 51c | 1,383$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Jaguars | 28c | 1,375$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Jaguars | 28c | 1,373$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Jaguars | 40c | 1,310$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.7 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Panthers | 66c | 1,248$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.32 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Jaguars | 44c | 1,061$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Jaguars | 50c | 959.99$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Panthers | 41c | 953.79$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.74 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Panthers | 53c | 902.64$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.24 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Panthers | 66c | 826$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.6 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…b391backed Jaguars | 57c | 650$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Panthers | 78c | 630.18$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Panthers | 51c | 602$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.98 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Jaguars | 49c | 602$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.98 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Jaguars | 44c | 440.1$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Panthers | 55c | 429.07$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Panthers | 52c | 414.83$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Jaguars | 45c | 405.38$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.42 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Panthers | 52c | 392.67$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Jaguars | 22c | 373.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Panthers | 75c | 359.61$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Jaguars | 22c | 279.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Panthers | 51c | 278$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Jaguars | 38c | 264.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Jaguars | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…82aabacked Jaguars | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Panthers | 68c | 240.13$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Jaguars | 35c | 229.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.17 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Panthers | 69c | 226.52$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…774abacked Jaguars | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Panthers | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Panthers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Panthers | 56c | 190.47$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe079…a06fbacked Jaguars | 55c | 190.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a34…92cdbacked Panthers | 66c | 167.19$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Panthers | 56c | 166.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec65…34d5backed Jaguars | 41c | 165.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Panthers | 51c | 143$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb10…5080backed Panthers | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Panthers | 51c | 134$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Jaguars | 51c | 131.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Panthers | 65c | 127.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Jaguars | 23c | 124.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Panthers | 70c | 120.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Jaguars | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Jaguars | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Jaguars | 45c | 105.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Panthers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Panthers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722e…faddbacked Jaguars | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Panthers | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Panthers | 54c | 94.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…8525backed Panthers | 56c | 86.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…6b8dbacked Jaguars | 58c | 86.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Panthers | 65c | 84.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Jaguars | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 207 | 60.9%126 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Panthers | 43c | 78.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Panthers | 64c | 77.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Jaguars | 49c | 73.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24af…f972backed Jaguars | 57c | 73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Jaguars | 58c | 70.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Jaguars | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Jaguars | 55c | 64.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cc…31a7backed Jaguars | 57c | 63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Jaguars | 47c | 62.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Jaguars | 46c | 61.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Jaguars | 53c | 60.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Jaguarsthis page
- CAR vs. JAX: O/U 36.5Over won
- CAR vs. JAX: O/U 37.5Over won
- CAR vs. JAX: O/U 38.5Over won
- CAR vs. JAX: O/U 39.5Over won
- Spread: CAR (-1.5)CAR won
- Spread: JAX (-1.5)CAR won
- Spread: JAX (-2.5)CAR won
- Spread: JAX (-3.5)CAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.