TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,013

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,312 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over53c154,052$81,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,945.091,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under47c47,688$22,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,639.044,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c37,971$17,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,876.8210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under44c22,654$9,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,948.4411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under48c16,931$8,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,077.276,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c9,768$4,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,775.114,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over62c8,418$5,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,197.5812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…920bbacked Under47c8,000$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7601850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c5,244$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.184,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c4,765$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.521,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Under48c4,163$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.1173949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c4,093$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.815,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over49c3,658$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.18,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under47c3,020$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.4477647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c2,728$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.386,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c2,510$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.068,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under47c2,400$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12845748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over51c2,186$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.142,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over64c1,504$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.9728749.5%142 W · 145 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73586653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under47c1,157$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.691,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under48c1,098$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.541,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over62c1,041$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.581,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under47c1,024$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.282,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47016848.2%81 W · 87 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under49c996$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.043,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over62c951.74$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.663,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b07…7dcbbacked Over56c891.88$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Under48c847.03$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.4840447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under49c736.68$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.7747350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c729$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.921,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under48c624.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.731,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under47c599.99$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2828,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under43c596$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.984,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over53c585$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.951,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Under48c510.42$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24512939.5%51 W · 78 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24032850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24523758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over62c472.05$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3882636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over51c465$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.311,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over63c429.07$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.6873355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under47c425.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20051545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over62c421.05$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Under47c408$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.761,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over51c385.81$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.053,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under40c315$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.889,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under47c298$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.051,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x202b…bd32backed Over53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.027643.4%33 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over62c225$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.523140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c220.02$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under48c219$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.922,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Under48c204$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9228753.3%153 W · 134 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under37c200.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.944,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1089662.5%60 W · 36 L+11.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3138252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under44c184.97$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.261,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under48c178.15$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7395252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Under48c168.92$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6735149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Under48c157.89$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7914750.3%74 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over51c157.7$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.734255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Over54c147.27$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3824149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c143$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.212,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under48c140$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.877050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Under48c125.56$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6343459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.641637.5%156 W · 260 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Under48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9227952%145 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over64c94.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.952,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under48c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Under48c84.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.441,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under48c84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3211331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under49c82.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.992,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x787b…f0a6backed Over63c78.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.122045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under47c74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.412,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under45c73.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.831,24556.9%708 W · 537 L+31.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under19c66.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6554715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over62c66$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0855758%323 W · 234 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Under48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.841236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under43c57.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.661,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Over51c50.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.985360.4%32 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2047646.2%220 W · 256 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under38c48.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.691,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0203…e1e7backed Under46c48.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.582045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under48c44.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4628948.1%139 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over63c39.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9446952.5%246 W · 223 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb53f…edc4backed Under47c37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.571643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd3…bed8backed Over53c36.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.384858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over54c32.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.261,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under51c29.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9915050%75 W · 75 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x263c…6540backed Under47c27.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7314848.6%72 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over62c25.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.651,01450.4%511 W · 503 L+52.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Over59c23.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6518272%131 W · 51 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb4…b6e1backed Over53c23.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9314053.6%75 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Over50c21.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7613151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a34…92cdbacked Over54c20.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.534100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over51c20.51$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.051,00157.3%574 W · 427 L+2.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.