NFL · resolved market
Jaguars vs. Saints
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec612df8afc54826a076791f804ca823f0f5d7b9f83875429b949f92b213baf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jaguarsof Jaguars, Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,210
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saints | 67c | 10,257$6,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,871.89 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Saints | 67c | 8,782$5,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,884.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Jaguars | 26c | 8,634$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400.52 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Jaguars | 32c | 7,724$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,289.84 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Jaguars | 75c | 7,534$5,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.38 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Saints | 34c | 6,767$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Saints | 37c | 6,683$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.75 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Saints | 13c | 5,487$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Jaguars | 78c | 5,331$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.31 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Saints | 58c | 5,276$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.34 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Saints | 69c | 5,215$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,579.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Jaguars | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Jaguars | 47c | 4,694$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.62 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Jaguars | 43c | 4,293$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.01 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Jaguars | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Saints | 67c | 3,465$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Jaguars | 33c | 3,104$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Saints | 73c | 2,977$2,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.54 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Jaguars | 52c | 2,829$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jaguars | 76c | 2,789$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.28 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Saints | 57c | 2,752$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.86 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jaguars | 42c | 2,710$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.8 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Saints | 60c | 2,425$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.74 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Jaguars | 50c | 2,308$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Saints | 40c | 2,002$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.97 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jaguars | 43c | 1,962$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.73 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked Saints | 57c | 1,724$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Saints | 68c | 1,603$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.56 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Jaguars | 10c | 1,541$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Saints | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Saints | 52c | 1,437$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.35 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Saints | 44c | 1,284$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.39 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed Saints | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Saints | 44c | 1,183$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.23 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Saints | 70c | 1,178$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.34 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Saints | 57c | 852$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.64 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Saints | 57c | 824.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.24 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Jaguars | 74c | 764.71$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.23 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Saints | 68c | 763.97$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.6 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Saints | 39c | 694.74$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.32 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Jaguars | 23c | 678.29$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +117%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Jaguars | 42c | 664.86$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.4 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Jaguars | 48c | 600$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Saints | 68c | 585.57$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Jaguars | 27c | 580.28$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.64 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Jaguars | 38c | 570.37$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.63 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Saints | 57c | 552.8$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.1 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6c…a2c3backed Saints | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Saints | 67c | 512$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Jaguars | 43c | 512$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.84 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Saints | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Saints | 56c | 493.93$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.18 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Jaguars | 42c | 478.47$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Jaguars | 69c | 445.09$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.5 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Saints | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jaguars | 76c | 397.91$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Jaguars | 39c | 396.05$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Jaguars | 54c | 387.13$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Jaguars | 5c | 386.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.75 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Jaguars | 36c | 385.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Saints | 25c | 362$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…6721backed Jaguars | 28c | 344.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.27 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +171.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Jaguars | 41c | 340.07$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.26 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Jaguars | 42c | 318$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.44 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jaguars | 46c | 308.35$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.77 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Jaguars | 37c | 300$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Jaguars | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Saints | 19c | 271.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Jaguars | 42c | 270.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…4ee1backed Saints | 67c | 268$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jaguars | 43c | 247.87$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.29 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Saints | 58c | 247.17$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.77 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Jaguars | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Saints | 66c | 230$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Saints | 69c | 227.17$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.76 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Jaguars | 33c | 223.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.68 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Jaguars | 62c | 207.08$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Saints | 25c | 203.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Jaguars | 29c | 195.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Jaguars | 16c | 194.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Jaguars | 8c | 185$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 11cpaid | +538.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Saints | 67c | 179.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Jaguars | 46c | 173.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Saints | 24c | 166.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Saints | 24c | 166.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…efe7backed Saints | 57c | 165.25$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…8913backed Saints | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Jaguars | 45c | 134$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Saints | 69c | 129.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Saints | 65c | 128.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…4c6cbacked Saints | 23c | 126.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Jaguars | 18c | 125.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e9…fb58backed Jaguars | 30c | 117.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…ef8bbacked Jaguars | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Jaguars | 15c | 104.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Saints | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Jaguars | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Saints | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Saints | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed Jaguars | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jaguars vs. Saintsthis page
- JAX vs. NO: O/U 35.5Over won
- JAX vs. NO: O/U 36.5Over won
- JAX vs. NO: O/U 37.5Over won
- JAX vs. NO: O/U 38.5Over won
- Spread: JAX (-1.5)JAX won
- Spread: NO (-1.5)JAX won
- Spread: NO (-2.5)JAX won
- Spread: NO (-3.5)JAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.