UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cad2fd98d7daf01530f34a1768362a9ec6a17f24b8af84cd72cdb7eff5d21f0

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Reinier de Ridderof Roman Dolidze, Reinier de Ridder
Resolved: Aug 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $347,435
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $376,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,435 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Roman Dolidze	23c	95,082$21,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,868.75	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Reinier de Ridder	77c	54,315$41,794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,520.27	154	44.2%68 W · 86 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Roman Dolidze	22c	33,407$7,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,344.05	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Roman Dolidze	20c	27,112$5,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,486.98	170	50.6%86 W · 84 L	+9.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Reinier de Ridder	77c	26,100$20,097 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,003	145	58.6%85 W · 60 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Roman Dolidze	22c	19,951$4,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,389.2	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Reinier de Ridder	78c	19,023$14,838 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,185.16	105	46.7%49 W · 56 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Reinier de Ridder	80c	16,282$12,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,305.32	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Roman Dolidze	17c	13,819$2,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,363.52	358	48.3%173 W · 185 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Roman Dolidze	22c	13,462$2,962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,961.62	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Reinier de Ridder	78c	13,092$10,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,922.33	61	72.1%44 W · 17 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Roman Dolidze	24c	11,676$2,756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,756.25	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Reinier de Ridder	78c	10,000$7,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200	74	60.8%45 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Reinier de Ridder	77c	7,500$5,799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,700.34	226	61.9%140 W · 86 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Reinier de Ridder	77c	6,888$5,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,584.24	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Roman Dolidze	11c	6,054$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.92	155	37.4%58 W · 97 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Reinier de Ridder	77c	5,900$4,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,357	115	54.8%63 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Roman Dolidze	22c	5,555$1,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,222.03	117	46.2%54 W · 63 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Reinier de Ridder	78c	4,615$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,015.38	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Roman Dolidze	23c	4,478$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Roman Dolidze	22c	3,627$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.02	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+3.2wins	+0.19per pick	40cpaid	+31%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Reinier de Ridder	76c	3,000$2,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$709.99	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Reinier de Ridder	78c	2,500$1,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	136	36%49 W · 87 L	-13.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2edd…e968backed Reinier de Ridder	77c	2,478$1,915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.18	36	66.7%24 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b1f…49e6backed Reinier de Ridder	79c	2,386$1,885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.1	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaef…2665backed Reinier de Ridder	78c	1,785$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$385.3	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Roman Dolidze	23c	1,709$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.23	131	44.3%58 W · 73 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Roman Dolidze	19c	1,622$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.26	225	48%108 W · 117 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfd…95c4backed Roman Dolidze	23c	1,527$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.02	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Reinier de Ridder	78c	1,520$1,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.3	318	55%175 W · 143 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Roman Dolidze	23c	1,500$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f4a…afd7backed Roman Dolidze	23c	1,304$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x559e…0b6ebacked Reinier de Ridder	78c	1,270$984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.56	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e9…ee46backed Reinier de Ridder	78c	1,263$985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.8	106	50.9%54 W · 52 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Reinier de Ridder	77c	1,259$969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.57	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Roman Dolidze	20c	1,250$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	420	54%227 W · 193 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Roman Dolidze	17c	1,102$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.26	224	38.4%86 W · 138 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Roman Dolidze	23c	1,050$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.2	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Roman Dolidze	23c	1,040$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.21	153	48.4%74 W · 79 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Roman Dolidze	22c	1,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Roman Dolidze	24c	1,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3aa…01a0backed Roman Dolidze	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Roman Dolidze	23c	999.99$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226	208	37%77 W · 131 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Reinier de Ridder	78c	884.62$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.62	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-4.8wins	-0.28per pick	58cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x92d8…a656backed Reinier de Ridder	78c	871.79$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.79	55	69.1%38 W · 17 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x969e…b834backed Roman Dolidze	23c	851.45$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dae…72c1backed Reinier de Ridder	77c	781.29$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.7	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3d…351dbacked Reinier de Ridder	77c	756.22$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.93	120	55.8%67 W · 53 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Reinier de Ridder	78c	600$468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	366	55.2%202 W · 164 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Roman Dolidze	22c	600$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	130	41.5%54 W · 76 L	-9.1wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Roman Dolidze	23c	600$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Roman Dolidze	23c	526.09$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	261	40.6%106 W · 155 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Reinier de Ridder	79c	500$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Roman Dolidze	23c	500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb83d…6175backed Roman Dolidze	24c	491.67$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…68d7backed Roman Dolidze	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	98	55.1%54 W · 44 L	+6.9wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Roman Dolidze	23c	440$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.2	139	40.3%56 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Roman Dolidze	11c	409.31$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.39	112	40.2%45 W · 67 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8191…b591backed Reinier de Ridder	78c	384.62$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.62	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Roman Dolidze	23c	376.39$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.57	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9874…2e27backed Reinier de Ridder	78c	360$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.2	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1058…01c1backed Reinier de Ridder	78c	358.09$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.78	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Roman Dolidze	23c	357$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.11	72	44.4%32 W · 40 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+18%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Reinier de Ridder	78c	346.23$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.17	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x538e…77f5backed Reinier de Ridder	77c	299.99$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	93	64.5%60 W · 33 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff97…e7cabacked Reinier de Ridder	79c	274.79$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.45	110	78.2%86 W · 24 L	+15.6wins	+0.14per pick	64cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Roman Dolidze	23c	273.2$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.84	86	36%31 W · 55 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Roman Dolidze	22c	270.55$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.52	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Roman Dolidze	16c	259.81$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.79	383	53.3%204 W · 179 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Reinier de Ridder	77c	259.74$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.74	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed Reinier de Ridder	78c	256.41$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.41	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29f4…1ac8backed Roman Dolidze	21c	238.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Roman Dolidze	23c	233$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.59	71	28.2%20 W · 51 L	-6.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6222…b3e8backed Roman Dolidze	23c	230$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.1	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab43…f7b3backed Reinier de Ridder	78c	229.53$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.53	160	58.8%94 W · 66 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5652…41a4backed Reinier de Ridder	77c	212.99$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.99	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b1…b851backed Roman Dolidze	23c	201.79$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeec3…6bd2backed Reinier de Ridder	78c	200$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Roman Dolidze	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	324	31.8%103 W · 221 L	-9.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1838…29b4backed Roman Dolidze	23c	200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6449…e1d4backed Reinier de Ridder	78c	192.31$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.31	22	77.3%17 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	67cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Reinier de Ridder	78c	179.49$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.49	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Roman Dolidze	23c	169$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.87	209	33.5%70 W · 139 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb23e…829abacked Reinier de Ridder	76c	168.48$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.52	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+13%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d09…a9d8backed Reinier de Ridder	78c	159$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.98	85	56.5%48 W · 37 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbc…ac8fbacked Reinier de Ridder	78c	153.26$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.72	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3978…e8f9backed Roman Dolidze	23c	152.17$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+2.9wins	+0.19per pick	21cpaid	+100.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e69…7a30backed Reinier de Ridder	79c	151.9$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.9	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.46per pick	79cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Roman Dolidze	15c	137$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.55	92	50%46 W · 46 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Roman Dolidze	23c	136.61$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.42	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8959…68e2backed Roman Dolidze	23c	130.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8069…f984backed Roman Dolidze	24c	128.46$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a68…98aebacked Reinier de Ridder	78c	128.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	265	69.4%184 W · 81 L	+10.7wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f49…231dbacked Reinier de Ridder	78c	128.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Reinier de Ridder	78c	128.21$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Reinier de Ridder	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf0e2…1752backed Roman Dolidze	24c	125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	64cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e3e…637cbacked Roman Dolidze	21c	116.51$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cee…c9c0backed Reinier de Ridder	78c	115.55$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.55	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.15per pick	69cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c48…06c6backed Roman Dolidze	22c	115$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?No won
O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Will Reinier de Ridder win by KO or TKO?Yes won
Will Roman Dolidze win by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by submission?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Reinier de Ridder (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event