Premier League · resolved market
Will Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cbaeb47c66830052457e2f2d83db62c32c8bf68a0da57d48b180a4451ac2321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $223,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82c8…a5dbbacked Yes | 19c | 52,632$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 33,938$7,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,230.01 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 76c | 15,150$11,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.75 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 18c | 14,444$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 13,917$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.42 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 23c | 6,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 22c | 4,615$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed No | 77c | 4,505$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 75c | 4,017$2,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.76 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 22c | 3,564$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.08 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked No | 77c | 2,708$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.86 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 19c | 2,690$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…9304backed Yes | 30c | 2,523$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 2,351$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.89 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 77c | 2,205$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.94 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…ea48backed Yes | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…55dabacked Yes | 19c | 1,826$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…f5bbbacked No | 80c | 1,777$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.97 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 1,554$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.05 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 78c | 1,530$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.2 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed No | 77c | 1,300$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 20c | 1,200$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 1,110$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 20c | 1,070$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 18c | 1,018$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.24 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 23c | 910$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.29 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…88c8backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 18c | 732.82$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 77c | 727.25$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Yes | 19c | 715$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…ee5bbacked Yes | 18c | 672.22$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 24c | 659.31$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.44 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 24c | 643.87$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.49 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 500.07$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.86 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…6f70backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…857abacked Yes | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Yes | 18c | 499.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 23c | 478.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 24c | 476.15$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 23c | 440.72$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 23c | 439.75$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -7.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…ef19backed Yes | 10c | 392.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 24c | 389.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.03 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 23c | 374.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4216…48d8backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…9a0dbacked Yes | 29c | 366.38$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 5c | 333$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 24c | 307.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 304.73$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 27c | 270$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 21c | 249.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Yes | 20c | 247$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 73c | 246$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…486dbacked Yes | 18c | 237.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a70…27debacked Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e4e6backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 19c | 194.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Yes | 20c | 185$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa68c…f805backed Yes | 27c | 177.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…d547backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 80c | 173.8$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 27c | 169.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Yes | 24c | 167.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…c372backed Yes | 18c | 167$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a34…92cdbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked No | 77c | 156.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 22c | 145.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 142.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked No | 80c | 139.93$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…9aabbacked Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 18c | 138$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 112 | 17.9%20 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Yes | 23c | 136.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 28c | 134$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 21c | 126$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc2…74d6backed Yes | 22c | 123.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 24c | 113$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b3…0e11backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…8887backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…c22fbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…d827backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…892fbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…0da7backed Yes | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 24c | 105.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 25c | 100.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.