NFL · resolved market
Raiders vs. Texans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc016166a92698c0a45b9d7c7e97260cc9422b6ef806218e218134e45219c3728
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raidersof Raiders, Texans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $570,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $565,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $570,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Raiders | 21c | 127,861$26,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,508.44 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Raiders | 49c | 64,532$31,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,933.07 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Texans | 45c | 57,941$26,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,073.57 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Raiders | 21c | 56,727$11,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,822.46 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Raiders | 24c | 30,441$7,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,232.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Texans | 51c | 20,000$10,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,172.61 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Raiders | 24c | 12,734$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,668.63 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Raiders | 25c | 9,000$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,747.65 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Raiders | 6c | 7,216$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,783.04 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Texans | 49c | 7,015$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430.37 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texans | 50c | 6,627$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.3 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Texans | 62c | 5,606$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,455.23 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Raiders | 52c | 4,883$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.61 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texans | 46c | 4,803$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.52 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Texans | 75c | 3,800$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texans | 60c | 3,478$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.15 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Raiders | 52c | 3,371$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,617.77 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Texans | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Texans | 78c | 3,250$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,539.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raiders | 10c | 3,040$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.55 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Texans | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Raiders | 38c | 2,672$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…ad70backed Raiders | 54c | 2,401$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Texans | 80c | 2,386$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.97 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Raiders | 16c | 2,376$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Texans | 62c | 2,259$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Raiders | 26c | 1,963$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.18 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Raiders | 32c | 1,831$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.77 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texans | 48c | 1,821$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.54 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Texans | 48c | 1,776$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.48 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Texans | 70c | 1,768$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.34 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Raiders | 20c | 1,691$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.55 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texans | 49c | 1,625$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.41 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…f447backed Raiders | 10c | 1,624$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +905.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…bad0backed Texans | 79c | 1,575$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Texans | 45c | 1,532$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.49 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Texans | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Texans | 49c | 1,312$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…a74ebacked Raiders | 55c | 1,302$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Texans | 49c | 1,185$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.45 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Raiders | 52c | 1,170$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.46 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Texans | 54c | 1,099$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.89 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Raiders | 26c | 1,096$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.64 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Raiders | 55c | 959.89$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.7 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Raiders | 43c | 929.82$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.76 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Texans | 33c | 914.82$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…dffdbacked Texans | 75c | 914.38$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Raiders | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Texans | 48c | 872$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Texans | 63c | 848.35$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.76 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Raiders | 28c | 808.82$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Texans | 69c | 762.6$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.28 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x295f…bb32backed Raiders | 54c | 758.95$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Texans | 53c | 755.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Texans | 48c | 717.72$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Texans | 78c | 716.62$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.96 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Texans | 45c | 652.56$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.65 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Texans | 48c | 616$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Texans | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Texans | 49c | 551.02$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Texans | 50c | 501.08$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.54 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Raiders | 14c | 500$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…ebe5backed Raiders | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Raiders | 6c | 480$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +488.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Texans | 46c | 470$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Raiders | 6c | 465.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 11cpaid | +538.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Texans | 45c | 454.54$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c5…0322backed Raiders | 55c | 446.42$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Texans | 50c | 442.3$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.17 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Texans | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Texans | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Raiders | 50c | 413.62$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.86 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Raiders | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Texans | 48c | 392.08$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…6721backed Raiders | 50c | 372.38$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +171.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Raiders | 25c | 365.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.37 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Texans | 48c | 361$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.07 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texans | 76c | 345.04$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.38 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Raiders | 34c | 340.37$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.88 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bc…42c1backed Texans | 50c | 302.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Texans | 77c | 302$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Texans | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Texans | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…5af2backed Raiders | 47c | 293.44$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Raiders | 39c | 289.44$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.31 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a69…8caabacked Texans | 7c | 282.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Raiders | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +117%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Texans | 46c | 265.96$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…7825backed Texans | 76c | 263.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a34…92cdbacked Raiders | 23c | 256.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Texans | 46c | 246.65$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…6d8dbacked Texans | 8c | 237.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Raiders | 24c | 225.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.71 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Raiders | 52c | 223.7$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.38 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Texans | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…ff8cbacked Raiders | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raiders | 80c | 217.29$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Texans | 47c | 206.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…c12abacked Raiders | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Texans | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raiders vs. Texansthis page
- LV vs. HOU: O/U 37.5Over won
- LV vs. HOU: O/U 38.5Over won
- LV vs. HOU: O/U 39.5Over won
- LV vs. HOU: O/U 40.5Over won
- Raiders vs. Texans: 1H MoneylineTexans won
- Raiders vs. Texans: 1H O/U 19.5Over won
- Spread: HOU (-1.5)LV won
- Spread: HOU (-2.5)LV won
- Spread: LV (-1.5)LV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.