MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb141f64f46c06ce761ee679161fb4535e03e7399896033866e0ef23eecf67853
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof St. Louis Cardinals, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $657,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $668,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $657,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 76,086$24,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,820.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 53,521$38,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,521.13 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 48,941$14,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,192.81 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 46,372$36,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,202.58 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 44,116$20,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,437.72 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…6f49backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 42,961$12,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,458.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 40,255$23,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,047.35 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 22,780$16,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,634.28 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…c058backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 20,000$9,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,802.87 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…035dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 18,700$5,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,368 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 16,777$7,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,844.84 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…ab5abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 14,850$11,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 11,160$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.91 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 10,322$4,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.9 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 9,815$6,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.44 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…5df7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 9,714$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,342.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 9,487$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.17 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 8,438$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.05 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 6,600$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 6,229$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,353.83 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 5,495$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.72 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 5,108$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.45 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 4,547$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.39 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 4,110$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 4,020$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.8 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 3,974$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.26 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 3,885$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.45 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 3,877$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.67 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 3,333$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.21 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 3,151$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.69 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 3,050$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.89 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 2,887$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.63 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.11 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 2,599$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.23 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 2,593$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.59 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…b554backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 2,475$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…1e24backed St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 2,340$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,962$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 1,864$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.26 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 1,828$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.29 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 1,741$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.49 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…7ef1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 1,715$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…eeb0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 1,420$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.66 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 1,400$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.54 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 1,340$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 1,290$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.01 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…746ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,278$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77aa…9bd5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 28c | 1,132$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 1,128$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.36 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafef…f50ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,061$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed St. Louis Cardinals | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 971.97$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.87 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dd…ac58backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 899.84$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed St. Louis Cardinals | 3c | 870.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 870.16$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.75 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 868$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.02 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 865.9$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.72 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 858$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.82 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 846.83$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.68 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 756.85$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.05 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 708.51$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 694.03$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 672.5$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.04 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 627.97$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.39 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 592.24$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 592.15$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.92 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 568$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.55 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf2…7803backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 567.68$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 556$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 520.76$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.79 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 470$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 449.33$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.94 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 445.69$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 445.41$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.62 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 443.87$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.41 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 420$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.27 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 408.22$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 407.89$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 72c | 404.5$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 400$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 399.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.99 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 390.26$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.77 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Philadelphia Phillies | 77c | 387$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 377.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.