MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x741621044fb4ac69ef3a13080f8a1a92837cad2b5f6ea60104cd88e17fd29095
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Philadelphia Phillies, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 10,286$6,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,244.77 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 8,045$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 8,000$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,746.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 6,102$3,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.61 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…2a9dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 5,343$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.78 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 3,700$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 3,284$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.87 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,745$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.14 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 2,670$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.04 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 2,096$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.92 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 1,859$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.76 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 1,372$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.98 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,191$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.28 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 1,027$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.58 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 819.61$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.59 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 758.96$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 750.51$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.02 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 721.86$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.81 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 701.26$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.5 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 650$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.5 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 484.61$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.69 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…6721backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 397.61$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.59 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 391.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 312.82$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.49 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 300$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 257.16$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.44 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 256.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 201.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 201.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 197.7$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 185.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 184.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 184$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 168$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 162$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 160.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 155.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 136.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 128.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 128$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 123.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 110.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 107.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 101$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 93.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 92.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 91.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 77.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 75.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 73.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 65.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 59.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 55.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 51.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 48.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 45.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…eddabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 41.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 41.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 36.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 32.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1e…6e1fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 23.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 20.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.