TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,194 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes15c20,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes29c13,000$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,770540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No71c12,420$8,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,601.821457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78e3…2bcabacked Yes29c2,713$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.632920.7%6 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes9c2,567$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.391533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes7c2,030$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.821,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c1,790$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.0155751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes30c1,639$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No78c1,306$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.333171%22 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No73c1,293$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.71,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Yes29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002045%9 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No71c1,017$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.8585048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Yes29c999.97$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.992339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Yes33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e42…f5bbbacked No67c863.52$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.971258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No71c631.27$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0718950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No76c630.18$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15457833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No70c481.28$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.53551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No78c437.48$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.731060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No80c433.31$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4314658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes27c368.39$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0772142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked No76c366.19$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.61862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006045%27 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes29c343.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes30c320.45$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9938233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No71c282.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2948950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No70c272.23$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9153344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes12c249.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.251752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad0…a8d2backed Yes28c248.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes29c241.38$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No69c230.31$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.324245.2%19 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked No65c229.61$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.143452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes27c204$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce6…1e03backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes8c186.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9318453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x080e…78a5backed Yes14c185.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes28c184.22$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed No70c155$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.56740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c149.34$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8269851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes9c125$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.257032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8780…002ebacked Yes25c121.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8850%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No72c116.63$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.662356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No71c110$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.25347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c110$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.81,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5c…2ba2backed Yes33c108.58$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.83650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5056…fbb3backed Yes30c106.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb371…472abacked Yes28c104.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.251338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…24cabacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes35c93.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.76038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1abe…1ddabacked Yes28c90.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…82a9backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a94…653abacked Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-53.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No74c85.56$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4112554.4%68 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bca…486dbacked Yes25c85.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.33825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-62.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes29c83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.854847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee1a…a6f9backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No71c69.18$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.884,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206269.4%43 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a34…92cdbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.493259.4%19 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed No74c65.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.265937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4da…3f9dbacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes29c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.476842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No72c59.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0910248%49 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c59.44$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6457150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed No72c55.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No72c54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.125354.7%29 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebf7…897ebacked Yes25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf76…dfcbbacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a55…9aabbacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-62.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed No72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.673450%17 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed No72c41.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.622138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8726…5ae1backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes28c38.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7318748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No72c37.34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.461,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…b1a8backed Yes28c37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3650%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed No71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.151040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked No71c34.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.954751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No70c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.920440.7%83 W · 121 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed No73c28.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.735058%29 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c20.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No70c20.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.147436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed No78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed No72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.