TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$433,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$456,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $433,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked No70c169,486$118,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,845.952441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x384b…7d78backed Yes30c156,000$46,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,80020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a39…b0b9backed Yes30c117,845$34,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,954.831154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ddd…c933backed No70c40,000$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,999.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes16c24,123$3,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,774.771,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No71c23,425$16,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9041,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No67c18,552$12,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,039.791435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c14,574$10,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,991.614,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No70c13,585$9,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,012.491457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed No70c11,543$8,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,462.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd3…47b6backed Yes33c11,318$3,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,718.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No71c7,196$5,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.847635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c6,449$4,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,975.686,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No70c4,285$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.585748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No71c4,235$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.231233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No70c4,044$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.079735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No69c3,736$2,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.6750450%252 W · 252 L+19.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes13c3,492$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.4238233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No70c3,201$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.0656051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x303f…2fabbacked Yes2c3,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes30c2,963$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.9317634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No74c2,323$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.623171%22 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No70c2,250$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.495160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No70c2,006$1,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.2260445.4%274 W · 330 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No70c1,940$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.357853.8%42 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes1c1,616$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.47525.3%19 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c1,559$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.212,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No71c1,557$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.718453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes2c1,510$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.170%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.281471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked No71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.451758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No70c1,307$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.2281053.6%434 W · 376 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30023258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11029024.8%72 W · 218 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No77c987.26$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.9859332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-55.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No70c767$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.17361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No71c758.7$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5533751.3%173 W · 164 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No80c641.72$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7714658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c606.9$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5869851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe51f…973ebacked Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes31c599.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes22c569.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.567032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b97…4500backed No71c542.25$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+149%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No71c526$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5496443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No71c526$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.541,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No71c526$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.541,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Yes10c507.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No70c500$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14831053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc19…c313backed Yes14c499.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Yes32c499.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb398…3a9fbacked No70c490.59$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99b1…9fd2backed No69c432.78$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.16560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes11c421.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.414119.5%8 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+43.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1207959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3814…17bcbacked Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No70c395$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.584549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae8…42c1backed Yes30c363.33$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f8…6f42backed Yes31c361.55$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed No72c359.8$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.743145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed No70c358.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.795937.3%22 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No69c357.14$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.453344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8780…002ebacked Yes32c338.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7750%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed No71c309.86$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5700…a854backed No71c309.14$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.652035%7 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c304.71$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4156241.5%233 W · 329 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a5…38d8backed No70c304.56$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9021548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x405e…9c34backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No71c284.86$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.611752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc971…54bcbacked No69c271.29$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x131c…6816backed No71c271.27$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c13…9013backed No71c261$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe968…de6fbacked No70c245.07$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.111266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed Yes30c203.33$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb226…4163backed No72c201.35$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6014355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6014354.5%78 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6017062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6014459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked No69c197.1$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No73c182.09$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9128456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca9…3c29backed Yes33c181.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb18e…8038backed No69c181.16$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Yes30c178$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No68c174.32$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0172442.7%309 W · 415 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed No71c169.01$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.016960.9%42 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes30c158.66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.624544.5%109 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No70c156$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.87261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70cb…950ebacked No71c142.33$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.61666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked No71c141.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.053040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…2c78backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+113.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No71c136.62$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.623161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfecc…7551backed Yes32c135.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.36520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.