MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b6042e5a75f29b31aea9b459c16d480f2e46552b200346f83e3063075d0a000
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Miami Marlins, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $386,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $434,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 126,318$45,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,276.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 52,941$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,941.18 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 50,610$29,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,493.8 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 38,865$21,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,489.34 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…5b40backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 32,170$22,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,972.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 14,998$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640.17 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…fd47backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 12,105$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,205.26 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 11,578$6,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,210.08 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 11,409$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.5 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 26c | 8,372$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.88 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 7,500$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Miami Marlins | 9c | 6,779$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.11 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 23c | 6,612$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.19 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 5,797$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.1 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Miami Marlins | 5c | 5,606$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.74 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 5,147$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.06 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 4,567$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.18 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 4,035$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.19 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 3,735$2,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.89 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 3,503$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.82 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 3,461$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.29 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 3,292$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.4 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Miami Marlins | 11c | 3,182$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 3,150$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.56 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 3,072$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Miami Marlins | 22c | 2,793$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.4 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins | 17c | 2,696$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.62 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 2,650$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.5 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 2,508$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.6 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 2,434$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.5 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,254$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.97 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 2,138$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.55 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 2,007$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.72 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 1,966$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.9 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,591$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.91 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 1,568$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.81 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,325$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.5 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 1,002$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.47 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Miami Marlins | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 921$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.82 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Miami Marlins | 11c | 827.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 706.9$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.9 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 676$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.68 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 615.73$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.72 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 602$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…c695backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ac…b7c1backed Miami Marlins | 32c | 535.26$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 521.09$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.49 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 520.7$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.32 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6c…a2c3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 480.43$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 451.73$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.35 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 450$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 449.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 444$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 436.04$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.86 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 423.91$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 421.4$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Miami Marlins | 20c | 402.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 367$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.15 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 359.97$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.27 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 359.82$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.25 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 357.2$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8b…5e36backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b28…bf9fbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 326.43$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 314.73$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.48 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 310.53$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.53 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea53…e1ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 276$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Miami Marlins | 27c | 262.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…774abacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 252.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 252.31$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.97 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0db6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 240.51$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…f447backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 240.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 237.19$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.74 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 236.4$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 228$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…6fdabacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 16c | 214.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 200$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4666…3a55backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Miami Marlins | 19c | 176.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 175.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 171.51$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.