MLB · resolved market

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62fc1bb4e1783fc5a19c266a0ce27070c77e720907fef29010db357c4adfe489

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $166,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $171,180

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,262 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	48c	120,000$57,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,399.97	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x263c…b2aebacked Over	53c	41,658$22,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,078.94	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.22per pick	56cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Over	53c	26,891$14,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,252.22	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	50c	19,821$9,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,910.46	483	39.8%192 W · 291 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c8…8f5abacked Over	51c	10,888$5,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,552.88	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over	50c	9,925$4,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,962.5	273	51.3%140 W · 133 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	50c	7,605$3,807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,807.39	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	53c	6,064$3,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,214	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…487dbacked Under	48c	4,521$2,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,337.79	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	49c	3,650$1,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,861.25	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under	46c	3,500$1,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,890	489	52.8%258 W · 231 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530	114	64%73 W · 41 L	+12.6wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	53c	2,500$1,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,324.99	958	50%479 W · 479 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over	53c	2,425$1,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,273.92	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	40c	2,267$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905.58	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over	52c	1,691$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.39	360	48.6%175 W · 185 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	52c	1,403$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$729.33	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc279…6465backed Under	48c	1,395$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$725.43	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081b…1c6abacked Over	53c	1,264$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over	50c	1,200$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	53c	1,100$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.24	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over	51c	1,021$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.71	680	53.2%362 W · 318 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	53c	833.2$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.6	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4dd2…14c2backed Over	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under	47c	554.21$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.46	655	49.3%323 W · 332 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	47c	423.25$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.17	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	74c	411.85$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.19	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Under	47c	382.27$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.15	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	31c	352.8$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.69	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under	46c	337.23$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.1	556	53.4%297 W · 259 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under	47c	300$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	1,206	53.7%648 W · 558 L	+29.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Over	53c	296$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.88	274	48.2%132 W · 142 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under	48c	259$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.68	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Under	47c	209$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.77	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under	48c	208.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.33	652	48.3%315 W · 337 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	+25.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Under	49c	199.97$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.79	341	49.3%168 W · 173 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…5976backed Under	51c	197.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.71	63	47.6%30 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under	53c	188.68$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.68	42	76.2%32 W · 10 L	+4.8wins	+0.12per pick	65cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Under	46c	184.78$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.78	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over	39c	180.09$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.09	1,056	44.3%468 W · 588 L	-25.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Under	47c	180$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.4	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	53c	147.04$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.93	190	51.1%97 W · 93 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+21%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under	47c	143$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.89	546	42.5%232 W · 314 L	+7.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	49c	138$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.38	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Under	47c	131.49$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.69	272	44.9%122 W · 150 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over	53c	122.45$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.31	788	54.6%430 W · 358 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	49c	112.26$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.25	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over	53c	110$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.3	770	50.5%389 W · 381 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Under	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	297	47.1%140 W · 157 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3003…30f5backed Under	47c	106.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.38	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	+8.1wins	+0.13per pick	48cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x944e…96a8backed Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+3.1wins	+0.28per pick	54cpaid	+51.6%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over	50c	103$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.75	1,291	51%658 W · 633 L	-15.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	541	46.8%253 W · 288 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	49c	64$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.36	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Under	51c	60.82$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.82	732	43.4%318 W · 414 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	47c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.1	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under	47c	59$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.27	176	45.5%80 W · 96 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1465…e0dbbacked Under	46c	55.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.86	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	-5.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	52c	55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.39	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under	47c	51.74$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.47	583	52.1%304 W · 279 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c96…0a39backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	153	52.3%80 W · 73 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	1,804	53.8%970 W · 834 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	487	51.5%251 W · 236 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	50c	49.88$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.75	1,912	53%1,014 W · 898 L	+42.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe3…6599backed Over	50c	47.16$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.58	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Over	50c	45.43$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.72	424	48.1%204 W · 220 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Under	56c	45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.8	58	50%29 W · 29 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd8e…568abacked Over	51c	42.66$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.75	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	53c	42$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.26	1,851	53.1%982 W · 869 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over	54c	40.7$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.98	478	52.3%250 W · 228 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0274…c658backed Under	48c	40.21$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.91	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Under	77c	39$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.97	1,464	63.5%929 W · 535 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	53c	38.73$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.53	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7aae…7efcbacked Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-4.0wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcac7…37d8backed Over	53c	36.21$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.19	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over	55c	33.32$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.26	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07b4…6855backed Under	59c	33.31$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.55	141	49.6%70 W · 71 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over	53c	33.28$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.65	253	55.7%141 W · 112 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under	50c	29.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.63	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18ca…22c9backed Over	49c	27.55$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under	64c	26$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.24	799	55.9%447 W · 352 L	+21.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	47c	24.57$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.02	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e1b…aa71backed Under	47c	22$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.66	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…02f0backed Over	50c	20.97$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.49	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6904…dbb6backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfeed…3aecbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5this page
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event