MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb47344a67abdcb91ae7e16a2eb7ca7b11c1e7e3697f7936b8df95ef1fa4f83af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 68c | 97,829$66,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,976.35 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 32c | 77,046$24,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,779.92 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 28c | 11,329$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.86 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 5,771$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.24 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 32c | 2,630$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.6 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 1,715$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.12 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 68c | 1,644$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.08 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 32c | 1,379$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…b2b2backed Over | 4c | 1,314$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 66c | 927$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.28 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed Under | 69c | 837.96$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.33 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 69c | 803.32$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.63 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 22c | 738.11$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.68 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 32c | 642.46$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.59 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 31c | 617.61$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.46 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Over | 8c | 497$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 8c | 483.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 69c | 482.62$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.61 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 8c | 399$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Under | 69c | 285.71$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 31c | 246.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 31c | 224.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Over | 35c | 116.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Under | 78c | 113.27$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e0…7d6fbacked Over | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 67c | 92.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 69c | 88.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 33c | 84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Over | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Over | 35c | 71.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 33c | 67.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over | 32c | 59.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 54.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…26a0backed Under | 68c | 51.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 21c | 50.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 65c | 47.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…1c86backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 69c | 44.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 69c | 44.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 32c | 42.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb092…48d5backed Under | 74c | 27.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Under | 72c | 18.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 68c | 17.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c8…5301backed Under | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.