MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x693bf6087e8c4e1fbffed9208419fc6c545af49b39f945633bfbc228634c1afa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 45c | 80,166$36,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,134.77 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 55c | 67,269$37,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,265.15 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 22,785$10,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,919.98 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 15,526$8,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,416.34 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 44c | 9,515$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,186.7 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.08 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 5,154$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.93 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 52c | 4,718$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.06 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 59c | 3,590$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.87 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 56c | 3,570$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.8 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 3,118$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.12 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 54c | 3,050$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.13 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 55c | 2,722$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.21 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 57c | 2,161$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.25 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 2,152$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.17 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 45c | 2,048$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.6 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 2,046$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.78 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 43c | 2,020$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.6 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Under | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 1,067$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 32c | 977$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.36 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 54c | 763.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.44 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Under | 67c | 511.28$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.83 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Over | 8c | 479.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 42c | 461.66$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.48 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 58c | 437.42$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.38 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…20e7backed Under | 61c | 401.28$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.17 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 59c | 354.82$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.66 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Under | 57c | 352.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.38 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79e0…7d6fbacked Over | 10c | 319.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 59c | 290.56$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.13 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 54c | 281.56$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.52 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 58c | 237.39$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 71c | 223.24$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 18c | 211.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 55c | 168.68$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Under | 69c | 154.29$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 31c | 152$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Under | 71c | 124.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 58c | 121.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 58c | 121.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 45c | 116$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7131backed Over | 46c | 106.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde9…7d86backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Over | 11c | 99.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Over | 45c | 98.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Over | 46c | 96.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 93.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 15c | 79.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 46c | 77.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 360 | 50.3%181 W · 179 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 73.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 45c | 69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 63c | 67.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 43c | 64.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 46c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Over | 45c | 52.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 33c | 47.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…124dbacked Under | 56c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65f3…c5c0backed Under | 62c | 44.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Under | 57c | 43.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb59…6552backed Over | 46c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Under | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 70c | 37.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Under | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 64c | 33.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…b2b2backed Under | 68c | 26.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…fcc6backed Under | 55c | 23.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.