TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,592
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,592 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under47c45,062$21,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,884.191,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c35,393$18,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,958.6210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over49c30,654$15,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,020.064,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over53c27,986$14,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,873.72,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over53c12,263$6,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,504.281,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over44c9,032$3,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,97319051.1%97 W · 93 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over54c4,832$2,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,601.964,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5901,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62045252.4%237 W · 215 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Under47c2,825$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.31225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-53.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under46c2,258$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.273,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over56c2,212$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.586548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.934942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c38…1bfabacked Under56c1,839$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.293070%21 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under51c1,749$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.632,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over48c1,742$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82847545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over53c1,668$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.0436048.6%175 W · 185 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under56c1,446$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.844,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c1,431$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.566,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over52c1,244$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.0711,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58395850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under45c1,039$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.411,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under53c992$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.751,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over30c900.76$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.219,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over53c888$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.6486653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c725.83$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2958,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over53c640$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.268053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under67c624.69$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under74c579.66$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.872,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under45c578.96$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.1665549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18522448.7%109 W · 115 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Over39c499.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over37c490$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.31,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…2b75backed Over53c462.96$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.378148.1%39 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x598a…1bdfbacked Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over28c361.08$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.628,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under46c299.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16270744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under69c239.5$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.231,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over50c235$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.652,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over38c228.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8715639.1%61 W · 95 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Over51c223.53$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410850.9%55 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Under47c212$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.369446.8%44 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011138.7%43 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c148.5$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.192,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f5…24adbacked Under53c147.04$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.112025%5 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-57%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under56c144.59$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.921,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under56c143.02$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1247358.4%276 W · 197 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb361…7348backed Under72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8910953.2%58 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbee2…6527backed Over51c126.75$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.643447.1%16 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Under57c126.47$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.381163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b3…966bbacked Over57c123.79$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.561250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Over54c112.58$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.795655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Over54c112.57$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.792572%18 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+42.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under47c108.47$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.491,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over45c106.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.751,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d13…082cbacked Over51c103.55$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.811346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239259.8%55 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79e0…7d6fbacked Over20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51915.8%3 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Under61c92.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0211555.7%64 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over33c92.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.381,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under56c82.71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.392853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under56c72.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9640658.4%237 W · 169 L+2.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Under56c72.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9655259.6%329 W · 223 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over45c69.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.323237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over56c67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3788147.8%421 W · 460 L+4.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under67c66.27$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.845,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over23c65.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1556435.1%198 W · 366 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Over20c58.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5131957.4%183 W · 136 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over28c55.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.581,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x3618…b2b2backed Under63c55.05$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.197838.5%30 W · 48 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Over55c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9527348%131 W · 142 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under44c43.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.272,94447.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L+4.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Over32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8814643.8%64 W · 82 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Over48c39.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8940048.5%194 W · 206 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under44c37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.811,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under56c36.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.921,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over30c35.81$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83,45651.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L+107.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…f3aabacked Over57c35.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c33.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.645,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a46…2482backed Under48c31.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.61850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Over54c29.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630960.2%186 W · 123 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under52c26.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8228948.1%139 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb3…4a24backed Over54c25.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8210052%52 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over52c24.75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.775,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x951a…6866backed Under47c23.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed Over53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115339.9%61 W · 92 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Under71c19.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5417548%84 W · 91 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ce…7bd5backed Over57c18.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.