MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd59fc410bf70e0e446f879f6fbbfa1005800ae893a663b209f594a0ba03fc821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Milwaukee Brewers, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 50,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 34,176$12,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,303.36 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 21,322$9,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,639.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 17,700$10,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,715 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 9,594$3,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,453.85 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 9,448$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.89 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 6,603$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.08 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 4,607$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.43 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 30c | 4,243$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.51 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 3,806$2,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…4375backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 2,451$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 1,451$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 1,158$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.88 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…5df7backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 1,087$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Atlanta Braves | 78c | 992$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 684.25$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.48 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 80c | 652.51$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.65 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 639.91$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 577.41$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.2 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 546.93$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.61 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 534.38$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.74 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 397.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.67 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 383.25$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 358$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.12 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 330.43$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.38 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 302.66$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.69 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 245.65$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 245$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Atlanta Braves | 31c | 205.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.74 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 170.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 151.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…7551backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Milwaukee Brewers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 139.12$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 119.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 115.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 81.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 71.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves | 77c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 66.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 54.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Atlanta Braves | 68c | 47.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 35.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 35.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 35.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 34.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Atlanta Braves | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 27.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 22.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 21.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…fcc6backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 21.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 18.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.