Lol · resolved market
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x625234c508ef0487fecec19b7c994d3f6af921e9f39b110a7976fe8192d85a0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Top Esports, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $500,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $534,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 339 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Top Esports | 16c | 105,294$16,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,986.57 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 76,705$50,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,286.32 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…6dfcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 40,000$26,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,851.02 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…e8e5backed Top Esports | 0c | 26,195$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Top Esports | 34c | 23,055$7,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,838.55 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5177…2d20backed Top Esports | 0c | 22,450$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Top Esports | 35c | 21,080$7,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,378.49 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Top Esports | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Top Esports | 33c | 16,570$5,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,464.69 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 13,462$8,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,846.25 | 189 | 71.4%135 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 11,627$7,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,094.68 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bilibili Gaming | 63c | 11,535$7,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,210.88 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Top Esports | 33c | 10,479$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.37 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Top Esports | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.98 | 322 | 34.5%111 W · 211 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…c2d7backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.97 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 9,400$6,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Top Esports | 4c | 8,353$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.39 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Bilibili Gaming | 67c | 8,000$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Top Esports | 32c | 7,883$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.8 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Top Esports | 25c | 7,671$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.12 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Top Esports | 34c | 6,800$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.3 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Top Esports | 35c | 6,667$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 6,025$3,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.55 | 294 | 43.2%127 W · 167 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Top Esports | 34c | 5,800$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…072fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 5,283$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.41 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Top Esports | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…2fc6backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 4,545$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.45 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…068abacked Top Esports | 19c | 4,535$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.99 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Top Esports | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 499 | 40.7%203 W · 296 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Top Esports | 29c | 4,000$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.48 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Top Esports | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.95 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Top Esports | 4c | 3,333$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Top Esports | 34c | 3,099$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.86 | 288 | 36.8%106 W · 182 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…1298backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Top Esports | 35c | 2,860$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Top Esports | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…869ebacked Top Esports | 35c | 2,442$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.7 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6db8…b4c1backed Top Esports | 16c | 2,346$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.75 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Top Esports | 35c | 2,179$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…5749backed Bilibili Gaming | 68c | 2,128$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.97 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Top Esports | 35c | 2,067$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.51 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Top Esports | 36c | 2,042$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.12 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Top Esports | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Top Esports | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Top Esports | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 1,950$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.1 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Top Esports | 34c | 1,805$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.74 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Top Esports | 34c | 1,801$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.29 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Top Esports | 33c | 1,800$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 174 | 39.1%68 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…79f4backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 1,663$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.08 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…9bedbacked Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…d8debacked Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 1,510$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.47 | 141 | 60.3%85 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Top Esports | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…b412backed Top Esports | 36c | 1,347$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Top Esports | 35c | 1,289$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…26abbacked Top Esports | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 538 | 29.9%161 W · 377 L | -19.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Top Esports | 35c | 1,047$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.52 | 639 | 44.6%285 W · 354 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…e49fbacked Top Esports | 28c | 1,012$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.59 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,212 | 54.5%660 W · 552 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 996.13$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.57 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…a3f0backed Top Esports | 14c | 982$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Top Esports | 35c | 951.43$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3198…8b1fbacked Top Esports | 3c | 942.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…af42backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 873.42$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.34 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…ac8ebacked Top Esports | 34c | 857.67$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.54 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Top Esports | 34c | 854$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.36 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Top Esports | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Top Esports | 3c | 769.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Top Esports | 34c | 748$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.32 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Top Esports | 26c | 731.33$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.02 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -57%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Top Esports | 26c | 730.2$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Top Esports | 35c | 714.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…8fffbacked Top Esports | 3c | 700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Top Esports | 23c | 699.95$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.24 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Bilibili Gaming | 65c | 697.4$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.09 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Bilibili Gaming | 64c | 688$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.68 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Top Esports | 35c | 632.66$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.43 | 156 | 45.5%71 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Top Esports | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Top Esports | 34c | 599.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 599.81$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.94 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Bilibili Gaming | 67c | 595.06$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.37 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Top Esports | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 551 | 45%248 W · 303 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Top Esports | 35c | 567.74$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.71 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086c…4932backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 563.9$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.73 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418a…1b82backed Top Esports | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Top Esports | 16c | 555.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Top Esports | 36c | 540.54$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.59 | 217 | 51.2%111 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Top Esports | 39c | 535.82$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.44 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…ae9fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 515.53$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.28 | 245 | 63.7%156 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Top Esports | 35c | 508.57$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d4…f843backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…d5e5backed Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bilibili Gaming | 72c | 500$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd7…6497backed Top Esports | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d56fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 66c | 500$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendthis page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.