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Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,515
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,531

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,515 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a03…92d3backed Under42c1,330$559 inLost-$558.558545.9%39 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over58c1,315$763 inWon+$552.422,20253.5%1,178 W · 1,024 L+63.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Over57c350$199 inWon+$150.581550.7%413 W · 402 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Over57c324.75$185 inWon+$139.641,54854.8%849 W · 699 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under43c301.17$130 inLost-$129.52,84541.4%1,178 W · 1,667 L-14.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Under43c174.8$75 inLost-$74.9140051.3%205 W · 195 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c148.78$88 inWon+$612,60839.7%1,035 W · 1,573 L-84.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Under43c119$51 inLost-$51.1710747.7%51 W · 56 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x481a…e61abacked Under41c109.76$45 inLost-$4511045.5%50 W · 60 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Under41c107.9$45 inLost-$44.611,13748.3%549 W · 588 L+35.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Over59c59.6$35 inWon+$24.5311354%61 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over58c39.97$23 inWon+$16.7963446.4%294 W · 340 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Under41c39.02$16 inLost-$1685240.7%347 W · 505 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c09…5badbacked Over59c33.9$20 inWon+$13.915362.7%96 W · 57 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under41c28.88$12 inLost-$11.8444342.9%190 W · 253 L-1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a9c…fd70backed Under43c25.57$11 inLost-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.