Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c8f1424a3c222196f9ddcc8a65e3f2d93daf25db55ef7faa00a1e3c0d9ab15a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Top Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Top Esports | 62c | 3,564$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.97 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 3,317$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.99 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Top Esports | 64c | 2,934$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.77 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…2fc6backed Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 2,076$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.99 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bilibili Gaming | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Top Esports | 63c | 1,746$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Top Esports | 62c | 1,415$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.55 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Top Esports | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.63 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 535.47$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.78 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Top Esports | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 465.66$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.82 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Top Esports | 26c | 412.85$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 382.81$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.15 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf402…4c5abacked Top Esports | 46c | 372.47$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 366.27$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b7…602bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 350$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Top Esports | 63c | 315.84$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -57%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 303.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.38 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Top Esports | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 342 | 44.7%153 W · 189 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 299.98$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Top Esports | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Top Esports | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 227.87$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.84 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Top Esports | 63c | 222$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 218$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.16 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…172ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 196$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.44 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Top Esports | 57c | 189.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Bilibili Gaming | 56c | 185.91$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Top Esports | 58c | 184.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Top Esports | 40c | 166.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Top Esports | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…8afbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 140$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…bf05backed Top Esports | 44c | 114.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2d…4061backed Bilibili Gaming | 41c | 110.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 72.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 67.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d29…65e7backed Bilibili Gaming | 35c | 66.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 188 | 31.4%59 W · 129 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…718bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Top Esports | 44c | 64.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…502ebacked Top Esports | 63c | 62.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Top Esports | 63c | 62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…45ecbacked Top Esports | 63c | 57.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…f9e4backed Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Top Esports | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacd…4d5abacked Top Esports | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 41.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Bilibili Gaming | 74c | 34.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…7afbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 61c | 32.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Top Esports | 37c | 32.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0f…3656backed Top Esports | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad92…009abacked Top Esports | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.45per pick | 60cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Top Esports | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 29.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Top Esports | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked Top Esports | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked Top Esports | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…3b5dbacked Top Esports | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.