TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$725,974
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$740,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $725,974 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a39…b0b9backed Yes37c280,162$104,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,809.761050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes37c174,750$65,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,397.511533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes36c60,000$21,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,6003426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No63c48,407$30,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,910.532356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No63c47,634$30,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,624.4618950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No62c45,130$28,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,976.011457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c44,814$27,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,815.271,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No64c31,015$19,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,165.2218958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c29,568$19,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,298.36,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No63c26,121$16,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,760.793943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No64c25,959$16,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,362.4418453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed No64c22,620$14,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,143.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No63c20,000$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,40038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed No64c20,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.991070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+54.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No67c15,446$10,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,138.814,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f21…82d6backed No62c14,933$9,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,674.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c14,587$9,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,488.712,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No63c12,058$7,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,461.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No63c12,000$7,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,489.981947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked No64c10,150$6,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,654333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No63c8,542$5,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.355160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No67c8,120$5,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.31,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No63c7,984$4,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.0659247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No62c7,443$4,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.1276842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No63c7,015$4,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,595.191,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No62c6,920$4,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.597853.8%42 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No63c6,700$4,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4991637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No63c6,120$3,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.841020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-70.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd5a…2351backed No64c5,800$3,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,850862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.944736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No63c4,928$3,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.9469851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed No63c4,862$3,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.145354.7%29 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No62c4,839$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.8218362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x08ca…7895backed No63c4,035$2,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No63c3,921$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.7848950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No62c3,919$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.388635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No63c3,874$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.7814162.4%88 W · 53 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No61c3,783$2,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.669141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x076b…57afbacked Yes36c3,673$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No62c3,629$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.0285048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No62c3,204$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.591827.8%5 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78e3…2bcabacked Yes40c2,845$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.962920.7%6 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No63c2,824$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.9859445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No64c2,456$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.193171%22 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No63c2,427$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.9680953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes28c2,278$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.6445936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…8a83backed No64c2,190$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed No63c2,180$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.785851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed No71c2,113$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.68887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No62c2,097$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.941,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…30aabacked Yes38c2,006$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+241.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76012562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7601963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76014652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No62c1,976$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.733551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No63c1,915$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.557833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e6a…3d49backed Yes38c1,906$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes37c1,892$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafee…881ebacked Yes42c1,829$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.14425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No62c1,814$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.5296443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No62c1,796$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.561,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No63c1,788$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.7955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No63c1,667$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.7921056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked No63c1,624$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.8815547.1%73 W · 82 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked No62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.91758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No62c1,568$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.847361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.514949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.51471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes33c1,321$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.4113948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No62c1,284$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.784549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No62c1,253$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.519735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No63c1,200$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44446651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe51f…973ebacked Yes38c1,193$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.41850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Yes34c1,190$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed No56c1,175$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+65.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No62c1,129$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.0223258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes39c1,104$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.8825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x303f…2fabbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-57.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68b9…1664backed Yes32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes37c945.95$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed Yes8c944.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.62934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed No62c908.17$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No71c875$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.77032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes36c826.65$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.2914658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29fc…9a36backed Yes37c813.51$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-64.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No64c799.2$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.255259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed No62c789.47$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No64c761.38$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.092626.9%7 W · 19 L-7.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Yes37c705.41$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes39c700$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2731540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes18c646.79$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2672142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes37c621.2$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.849042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes32c613.56$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.941060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes16c605$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.