TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ugo Blanchet

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Otto Virtanenof Otto Virtanen, Ugo Blanchet
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,599
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,599 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Otto Virtanen76c24,825$18,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,913.718,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Ugo Blanchet37c21,560$8,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,004.0374439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e4…7e20backed Ugo Blanchet32c16,511$5,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,281.3418747.6%89 W · 98 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Otto Virtanen68c15,543$10,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,973.714450.7%73 W · 71 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Ugo Blanchet2c12,335$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.34,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ugo Blanchet17c9,324$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.844,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ugo Blanchet11c3,304$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Ugo Blanchet6c3,103$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.69737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Ugo Blanchet24c3,065$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.033644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd2…6657backed Ugo Blanchet32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Otto Virtanen77c1,800$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41736946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ugo Blanchet9c1,620$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.698,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Otto Virtanen67c1,489$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.994068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Ugo Blanchet18c1,035$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.062,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6170…f3fdbacked Otto Virtanen68c882.35$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.3527762.8%174 W · 103 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Ugo Blanchet26c880.28$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.773,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Otto Virtanen63c796.6$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.7488358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Otto Virtanen66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.587459.5%44 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Otto Virtanen71c738.09$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.0589850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Otto Virtanen68c711.38$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.645364.2%34 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ugo Blanchet22c633.96$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.918,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Ugo Blanchet32c570$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.435938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Otto Virtanen68c466.99$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4412545.6%57 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Otto Virtanen72c429.99$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7996755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d39…5408backed Ugo Blanchet33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Otto Virtanen65c396.89$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8978838.2%301 W · 487 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Otto Virtanen60c380.62$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2527836.7%102 W · 176 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Otto Virtanen67c367.88$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.43,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Otto Virtanen68c360$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.218156.9%103 W · 78 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3334…69b0backed Otto Virtanen68c301.47$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.472763%17 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Otto Virtanen67c297.01$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0122152.9%117 W · 104 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Ugo Blanchet27c283.45$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1725542%107 W · 148 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Otto Virtanen68c219$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0811345.1%51 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Otto Virtanen73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5452847%248 W · 280 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fab…3cabbacked Ugo Blanchet6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1224931.3%78 W · 171 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Otto Virtanen69c200$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6364837.5%243 W · 405 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Otto Virtanen75c189.64$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.811,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Otto Virtanen68c183$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5611748.7%57 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a9…0f04backed Otto Virtanen68c176.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.471838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b75…409ebacked Otto Virtanen68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Otto Virtanen71c149.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.547058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Otto Virtanen68c143.49$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.071,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Ugo Blanchet11c126.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3522035.9%79 W · 141 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Ugo Blanchet25c114.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.881,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6e…1256backed Ugo Blanchet38c112.16$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6226043.8%114 W · 146 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba3…1aafbacked Otto Virtanen74c101.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.357432.4%24 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Otto Virtanen78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Otto Virtanen68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Ugo Blanchet29c97.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3521240.6%86 W · 126 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Ugo Blanchet35c94.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.855347.6%263 W · 290 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Ugo Blanchet33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019256.8%109 W · 83 L+0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Ugo Blanchet33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022050.9%112 W · 108 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed Otto Virtanen61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Otto Virtanen67c80$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.410937.6%41 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Ugo Blanchet29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.23,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Otto Virtanen67c79.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.39955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79e0…7d6fbacked Ugo Blanchet17c78.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick21cpaid-73.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Otto Virtanen63c77.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8327549.1%135 W · 140 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Otto Virtanen68c73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3681255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Otto Virtanen68c72.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0520454.9%112 W · 92 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Otto Virtanen63c65$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.056,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Ugo Blanchet26c56.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.951,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4b5…1bd4backed Otto Virtanen68c48.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5116445.1%74 W · 90 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Otto Virtanen64c44.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.811,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Otto Virtanen68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1281256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Otto Virtanen68c44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0881457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Otto Virtanen67c42.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1426955%148 W · 121 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Otto Virtanen72c41.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.92,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Ugo Blanchet31c41.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.987241.7%30 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Otto Virtanen68c37.54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.011,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Otto Virtanen68c37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8474547.4%353 W · 392 L-28.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Otto Virtanen68c35.82$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.391,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68b6…99b4backed Otto Virtanen80c34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.813453.7%72 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6f8…df87backed Otto Virtanen68c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4714450.7%73 W · 71 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Otto Virtanen61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.734864.1%223 W · 125 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa239…3fcebacked Otto Virtanen70c29.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.831154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Otto Virtanen68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4135164.7%227 W · 124 L+20.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57b4…da40backed Otto Virtanen68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4134359.5%204 W · 139 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa678…dd59backed Otto Virtanen68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4110855.6%60 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Otto Virtanen69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9959366.8%396 W · 197 L-0.6wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa05f…2465backed Otto Virtanen67c23.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.738067.5%54 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3131…91cdbacked Otto Virtanen62c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3631855.7%177 W · 141 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Otto Virtanen68c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.042,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Otto Virtanen70c21.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.344552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Otto Virtanen70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.110395.1%98 W · 5 L+25.4wins+0.25per pick70cpaid+32.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Otto Virtanen77c18.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.37,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Otto Virtanen68c17.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5975262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c2…2d18backed Otto Virtanen78c13.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.114755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.