TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 185.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,264
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,264 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over50c121,439$60,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,719.693740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under50c48,477$24,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,353.3878548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Under50c43,937$21,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,968.46848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under52c24,078$12,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,658.9626953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under50c24,021$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,021.0814353.8%77 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over51c19,785$10,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,044.7199548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c10,461$5,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,34146247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under50c10,211$5,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,155.675657.1%32 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over49c8,805$4,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,314.367648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfe…9483backed Over48c8,802$4,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,254.742045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over51c7,787$3,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,950.5289349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over52c7,604$3,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,918.1223746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over49c6,949$3,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40513048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under51c5,399$2,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Over50c4,300$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1504461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c4,087$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.5538650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under51c3,847$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.022958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c3,728$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.2541145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Over50c3,195$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.8827449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Over49c3,039$1,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2899…707fbacked Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0385…acafbacked Under50c3,000$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Over49c2,957$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.3713048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Over49c2,900$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,421540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under49c2,192$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.8641147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Over53c2,014$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.425752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9807549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a3…9e12backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bcf…c767backed Over49c1,990$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.139140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d59…f7e5backed Under52c1,844$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.34852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under51c1,728$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.841,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Over50c1,602$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.741926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-45.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under49c1,600$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81619446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Under51c1,565$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.851833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Under50c1,441$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.52839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe95…1a93backed Under51c1,415$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.21742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed Over48c1,414$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.665561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4272…4a17backed Over50c1,300$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Under50c1,111$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.381735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over25c1,093$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.7837141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over51c1,084$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.8411540%46 W · 69 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b3f…4031backed Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012846.1%59 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb39b…9826backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5008348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48010548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Under51c948.02$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.3710050%50 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c947.02$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.571,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under51c935.93$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.618053.8%43 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c880$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c861$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.536154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Over49c855.68$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.284454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over48c808$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.8413742.3%58 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4db7…159fbacked Over48c742$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over37c725.13$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2706237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over48c714.35$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.1340550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under51c645$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.728647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over20c625.13$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.311637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over49c589.37$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.799650%48 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under49c554.78$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.9429654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under51c517.05$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.364751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa64f…bcf8backed Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2351566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over47c439.03$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.6532750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc28d…df7fbacked Over50c390$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c321.86$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.9374942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9064…170dbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79e0…7d6fbacked Over9c261.65$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0940%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Under77c259.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.681464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Under49c231$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.81966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under49c231$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.812955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under48c213$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0930734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Over49c212.33$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.155343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over50c200.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.39445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006050%30 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c7…5d81backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf452…4d43backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006861.8%42 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Over49c199.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.996437.5%24 W · 40 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea1b…ec19backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Under51c196.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.075341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under52c192.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.46850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.318748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under53c189.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.154351.2%22 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under48c189$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2811156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under77c186.62$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6850952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over52c163.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.869345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b75…409ebacked Under52c163$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.241546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under50c161$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Under50c159$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over49c150.65$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8234448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c144.89$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4917946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Over52c144.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-45.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…8b5fbacked Over49c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under50c139.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1232346.7%151 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…8927backed Under49c139$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.891752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.