WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 186.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb776ec9ecebdd6bb0ce11ca0a1b886962f8c89d54d928d6773fb9d6e50b2a449
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 52c | 30,100$15,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,448.28 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 48c | 14,658$7,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,035.84 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed Over | 48c | 10,990$5,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,275.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 8c | 9,149$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.55 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…ca29backed Over | 47c | 8,600$4,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,041.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Over | 47c | 8,355$3,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,927.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 7,603$4,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,573.53 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 47c | 5,799$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.4 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 53c | 4,098$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.06 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 53c | 3,884$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.97 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 3,817$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 47c | 3,096$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.36 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…9826backed Over | 48c | 2,812$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 2,142$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.25 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 1,882$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.11 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 52c | 1,311$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.92 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 55c | 953$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 869.87$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.33 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Over | 48c | 836.72$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 54c | 684.09$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.68 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 50c | 584.18$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.59 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 46c | 547.94$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.33 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 63c | 361.53$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 7c | 346.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Over | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 41c | 296.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.76 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Over | 31c | 220$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 54c | 219$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 209.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 45c | 168.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Over | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 48c | 150.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Over | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Under | 55c | 141.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 53c | 139.86$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 48c | 137.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 75c | 134.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Under | 55c | 123.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 48c | 119$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dab…70aebacked Under | 53c | 118.83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…6872backed Under | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 54c | 115.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 114.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Under | 56c | 107.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 66c | 103.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 98.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 49c | 98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…c0b1backed Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 53c | 62.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 54.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 63c | 53.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 46c | 45.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2636…8699backed Under | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…6599backed Under | 53c | 25.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…966bbacked Under | 51c | 24.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…8703backed Over | 46c | 22.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 186.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 185.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-2.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-3.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.