WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2a7b1d7ebc71a0b01aad24e3e2719003c1086e1f21b769d50be5beee3353a8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Indiana Fever, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 3,784$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.92 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 3,215$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.55 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 3,113$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.02 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 2,606$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.39 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9f…5e45backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 2,340$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 1,507$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.75 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 1,369$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.13 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 1,175$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.5 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 885.63$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.85 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 872.99$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.68 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 460.77$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.72 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 437.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.24 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 420.63$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.05 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 321.86$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.81 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 282.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 232.04$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.3 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 231.63$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Indiana Fever | 61c | 218.29$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 187.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ec…3f28backed Indiana Fever | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 151.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 141$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 138$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 116.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…a687backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 98.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 93.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 76.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Indiana Fever | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 69.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 58.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Dallas Wings | 43c | 58.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 46.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Indiana Fever | 55c | 41.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 38.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5692…b1b0backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 36.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 33.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 32.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 30.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indiana Fever | 39c | 27.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 27.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 25.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 25.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Dallas Wings | 58c | 22.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Indiana Fever | 54c | 21.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Indiana Fever | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-2.5)this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 185.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 186.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-3.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.