WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73a0d4588ea684db446ac3d109d7950a640acf1e204f8b79a557e98b840b5e5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Indiana Fever, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 7,747$3,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.6 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 7,105$3,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.55 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 4,122$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.86 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 3,168$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.51 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 2,900$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 2,499$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.71 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Indiana Fever | 55c | 1,960$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.94 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 1,590$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.91 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 1,448$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.49 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 1,283$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.35 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 1,228$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 1,142$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.2 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Dallas Wings | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 950.83$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.46 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 799.96$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.98 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 760.51$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.65 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 748.25$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.68 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 700$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…946bbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 696.32$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 685$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.27 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 653.56$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 612$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.76 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…99a6backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 567.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.65 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Dallas Wings | 41c | 483.73$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.45 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 417.77$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.55 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 414.43$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.88 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 403.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.92 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Dallas Wings | 63c | 319.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…172ebacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 214.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 203.51$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.12 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 195.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 193.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 182.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 159.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Indiana Fever | 41c | 151.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 145.84$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.46 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indiana Fever | 41c | 130.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 119.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 107.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Indiana Fever | 57c | 101.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 99.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Indiana Fever | 55c | 97.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 97.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 81.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…5c3abacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1676backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 62.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 59.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 56.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Indiana Fever | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 51.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 43.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 39.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 37.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Dallas Wings | 40c | 35.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b1…7fb2backed Indiana Fever | 55c | 35.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 33.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Indiana Fever | 55c | 33.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…50d7backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 28.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c96…0a39backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Indiana Fever | 55c | 26.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Indiana Fever | 55c | 24.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b67…07ddbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 23.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 20.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Indiana Fever | 55c | 19.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-3.5)this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings won
- Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 185.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 186.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-2.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.