TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Michael Zheng

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Felix Auger-Aliassimeof Felix Auger-Aliassime, Michael Zheng
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,233,104
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,638,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,233,104 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Michael Zheng12c218,956$26,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,443.824,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Michael Zheng12c110,267$12,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,981.3274439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Michael Zheng14c24,003$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,429.868,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e32…31fdbacked Michael Zheng6c23,180$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.355750.9%29 W · 28 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Michael Zheng13c19,652$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,508.244,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c0…ecf1backed Michael Zheng3c12,133$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3387625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Michael Zheng16c11,920$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.2314443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbfb…84a6backed Michael Zheng21c8,725$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.2912814.1%18 W · 110 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Michael Zheng17c8,612$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.0978536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Michael Zheng17c6,300$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10037044.3%164 W · 206 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Michael Zheng16c6,158$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99046030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Michael Zheng12c5,986$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.363144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Michael Zheng13c5,713$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.081,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Michael Zheng12c5,450$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.463,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d9…ecd7backed Michael Zheng21c4,579$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.683633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Michael Zheng17c4,369$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0c0…b68ebacked Michael Zheng1c4,339$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.995623.2%13 W · 43 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Michael Zheng17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9916825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Michael Zheng16c3,700$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9918315.8%29 W · 154 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Felix Auger-Aliassime79c3,664$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.6724961.4%153 W · 96 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Michael Zheng23c3,075$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.2845036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Michael Zheng23c2,989$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69010729.9%32 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Michael Zheng21c2,860$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.4554541.7%227 W · 318 L+18.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Michael Zheng20c2,657$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.447530.7%23 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Michael Zheng18c2,641$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.44,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Michael Zheng17c2,637$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.0271725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Michael Zheng17c2,319$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.813,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Michael Zheng4c2,125$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8560%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Michael Zheng16c2,000$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.661,51037.7%569 W · 941 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Michael Zheng13c1,893$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.7611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Michael Zheng17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30041251%210 W · 202 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Michael Zheng17c1,614$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.342,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a1…1b54backed Michael Zheng14c1,485$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2057346.6%34 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1226…f998backed Michael Zheng12c1,339$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16029940.1%120 W · 179 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e60…3badbacked Michael Zheng25c1,322$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.178743.7%38 W · 49 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid0%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d47…64eebacked Michael Zheng18c1,100$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1987728.6%22 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Michael Zheng22c1,091$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24043334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Michael Zheng18c1,080$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4126134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Michael Zheng17c1,078$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8518741.2%77 W · 110 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michael Zheng12c1,058$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.698,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1efc…1a6bbacked Michael Zheng23c1,050$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405633.9%19 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f16…701dbacked Michael Zheng20c1,005$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007938%30 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Michael Zheng21c985.28$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.191,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc90…6c55backed Michael Zheng17c958.76$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.993063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Michael Zheng12c938.86$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.352,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Michael Zheng12c924.79$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.021,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Michael Zheng16c924.55$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14740144.4%178 W · 223 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e1e3backed Michael Zheng18c833.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027446.7%128 W · 146 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc507…6054backed Michael Zheng17c821.05$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402850%14 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46f1…f937backed Michael Zheng21c803.35$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1706630.3%20 W · 46 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Michael Zheng19c757.12$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.855242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Michael Zheng17c740$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.81,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime78c730$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.625764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a1…504cbacked Michael Zheng19c657.89$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94b9…2592backed Michael Zheng12c599.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9911218.8%21 W · 91 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Michael Zheng17c588$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9630746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Michael Zheng15c575.71$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.362,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Michael Zheng18c557.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025158.6%147 W · 104 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6be…a9a7backed Michael Zheng18c556.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013441.8%56 W · 78 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Michael Zheng18c539.56$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1248331.1%150 W · 333 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Michael Zheng17c534.07$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.132,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Michael Zheng19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Michael Zheng2c526.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104456.8%25 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Michael Zheng12c500$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.819,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Michael Zheng11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5535938.2%137 W · 222 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed Felix Auger-Aliassime80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10027252.9%144 W · 128 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Michael Zheng17c490$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.31,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Michael Zheng16c481.42$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.031,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d4…7af5backed Michael Zheng7c446.16$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.231741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e74…b3a7backed Michael Zheng18c439.89$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.181442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Michael Zheng18c388.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706214.5%9 W · 53 L-11.2wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-62.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Michael Zheng23c386.9$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.151,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc9…ec4bbacked Michael Zheng7c386.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266011.7%7 W · 53 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick16cpaid+84.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Michael Zheng11c372.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Michael Zheng18c333.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6048935.8%175 W · 314 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…a284backed Michael Zheng22c323.78$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Felix Auger-Aliassime78c317.95$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9535360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1862…36bcbacked Michael Zheng13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Michael Zheng12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Michael Zheng18c270$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.618244%80 W · 102 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Michael Zheng16c250.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.262,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Michael Zheng20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503831.6%12 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac36…b1e1backed Michael Zheng17c249.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.513245.5%60 W · 72 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Michael Zheng17c249.48$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.417,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fab…453bbacked Michael Zheng21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Michael Zheng17c227.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7210847.2%51 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c77…8d9cbacked Michael Zheng12c226.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.053125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Michael Zheng16c215$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.437238.2%142 W · 230 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Michael Zheng22c200.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4460943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Michael Zheng20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017646%81 W · 95 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Michael Zheng17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3427132.1%87 W · 184 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x622f…9992backed Michael Zheng25c199.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7efb…a83abacked Michael Zheng17c185.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318529.4%25 W · 60 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dcb…9f08backed Michael Zheng11c181.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9420635.9%74 W · 132 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Michael Zheng17c176$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9238952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Michael Zheng18c166.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Michael Zheng18c163.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Michael Zheng19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Michael Zheng16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.558753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Michael Zheng17c142.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.