TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6be…a9a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT13441.8%56 W · 78 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 134 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Nuno Borgesbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.34
Hagen: Matej Dodig vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$42.71
National Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Terence Atmanebacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Magda Linettebacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.89
Zug: Harold Mayot vs Mika Brunoldbacked Mika Brunold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.73
Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.85
Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+178.3%+$89.17
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baezbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
Segovia: Matteo Martineau vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$69.88
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.84
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
ITF Tokyo: Kosuke Ogura vs Omar Jasikabacked Kosuke Ogura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+147.3%+$252.32
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Nottingham 3: Filippo Romano vs Max Basingbacked Max Basing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+195.1%+$58.53
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$167.39
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73.17
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Huergo/Korpatsch vs Noskova/Sramkovabacked Huergo/Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.03
Showing 25 of 134 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.13
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$135.08
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.3
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$44.19
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$204.29
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$53.71
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.75
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$15.38
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$40.29
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$48.01
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+174.5%+$87.25
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.16
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$225
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$80.71
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$105.13
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancebacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.82
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$32.31
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.72
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$70.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Granada CF win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.