TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will Granada CF win on 2026-05-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,041 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7656…d6dcbacked Yes40c24,194$9,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,770.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa36f…180bbacked No60c15,383$9,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,153.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c4,086$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.633,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c2,988$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.081,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c2,929$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.792,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Yes39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a5…fb95backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No60c1,417$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.6613545.2%61 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No61c1,400$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54611566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes60c1,302$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.284939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No61c1,251$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.8440357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No60c1,250$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50048251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No62c1,239$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.967554.7%41 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No61c1,133$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.9422455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No60c975.04$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.3470050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No60c913$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.9275751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No59c835.13$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.411352.2%59 W · 54 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes36c833.31$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.997850%39 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes43c812.35$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.628170.4%57 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No59c628.37$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.171,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No60c564.19$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.9169350.2%348 W · 345 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7437…e1e9backed Yes31c495.45$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No74c474.83$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2313658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c395.4$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.754,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No61c390.93$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2119042.1%80 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc92…8d1dbacked Yes59c377.37$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.732343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes37c368.19$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7410556.2%59 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes63c317.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes40c304.08$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6374657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No70c299.59$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.131,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf0…a575backed Yes26c251.05$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No58c247.62$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.359946.5%46 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes26c210.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4520630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No42c190.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.412429.8%37 W · 87 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes53c178.26$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.216541.2%68 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506926.1%18 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes39c163.89$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.927337%27 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No51c163.42$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2741348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No69c161.42$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8758548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No61c160$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.42065%13 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No60c156.39$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.59167%61 W · 30 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes40c151.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.455650%28 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba79…e944backed Yes40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014250.7%72 W · 70 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes21c148.86$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7861032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No61c140.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.083754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6be…a9a7backed Yes60c132.3$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506651.5%34 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes40c124.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Yes21c121$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No60c109$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.683650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No59c99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.161,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Yes57c98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.861353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2c…227dbacked Yes58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0e…5e62backed Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes45c83.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1917842.1%75 W · 103 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.811541.7%48 W · 67 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed No49c78.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.261050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes57c78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8184144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes31c72.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2321950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1446040.9%188 W · 272 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d6…b5c9backed Yes28c68.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.23520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes37c68.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2914441%59 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No79c68.06$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0718956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes57c66.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.89466%62 W · 32 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed No41c60.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9116363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2414856.8%84 W · 64 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes57c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes37c59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0720253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes48c57.48$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.547862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No35c52.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.211046.4%51 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Yes60c52.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.361250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes47c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8421439.7%85 W · 129 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2045949.7%228 W · 231 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.257761%47 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdba4…1528backed Yes30c48.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.483633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed No60c48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d2…0cefbacked Yes27c47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes29c41.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.933030%9 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No61c41.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0612653.2%67 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed No51c40.66$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed No60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.97346.6%34 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Yes53c39.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.74259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No59c39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.999060%54 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked No54c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.484443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Yes40c37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.86969.6%48 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7922456.3%126 W · 98 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x321c…18ddbacked No62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.265060%30 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae43…f595backed Yes39c31.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe36a…ae58backed Yes40c31.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.422462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No41c30.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.886243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1213059.2%77 W · 53 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Yes42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd932…af3cbacked No61c29.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.43425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No60c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.61,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes65c28.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2759855.5%332 W · 266 L+32.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe702…d88cbacked Yes39c26.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.48825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x676f…1f16backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.