La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x205464b18cf38e75e72d9c56fa0cdbcd34161aa9946d63fea72d365a47b7957f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 26c | 20,129$5,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,191.11 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 12,914$9,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,318.12 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 4,628$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.71 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed No | 71c | 4,202$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.45 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 2,716$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.96 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 2,598$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.32 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 29c | 2,172$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.76 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 74c | 1,302$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.52 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 56c | 827.92$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.15 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 33c | 820.05$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.1 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 74c | 735$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.03 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 23c | 703.83$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.77 | 213 | 22.1%47 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…c002backed Yes | 78c | 633.88$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 48c | 543.16$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.36 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 80c | 509.42$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 481.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 607 | 32.5%197 W · 410 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 45c | 326.67$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 30c | 305.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 72c | 288.15$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 95 | 66.3%63 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 252.78$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.78 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Yes | 20c | 240.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes | 47c | 232.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 68c | 207.67$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.9 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 19c | 180.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 26c | 164.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 164.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 52c | 147.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe566…9cc5backed Yes | 68c | 146.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 31c | 144.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 36c | 136.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc24…4002backed Yes | 26c | 126.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 67c | 124.73$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 58c | 124.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 54c | 123.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 189 | 56.6%107 W · 82 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 44c | 93.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Yes | 30c | 89.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Yes | 24c | 85.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Yes | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed No | 76c | 67.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 72c | 65.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…66dcbacked Yes | 26c | 61.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Yes | 25c | 56.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 25c | 56.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Yes | 29c | 49.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 76c | 39.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 78c | 38.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 74c | 36.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 75c | 34.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 53c | 32.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 74c | 30.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…628ebacked Yes | 77c | 29.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed No | 50c | 27.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…02ffbacked No | 74c | 26.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 73c | 25.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 71c | 24.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed No | 54c | 22.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 16.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 74c | 13.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…1bc0backed No | 74c | 13.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 74c | 13.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?this page
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-05-30?No won
- Will Real Sporting de Gijón win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.