MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa7715db801d85d5f0909d56c4cf912b3412d5b4f043880f042293a3f29e3b3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $713,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $700,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $713,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 296 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 85,038$34,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,172.25 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Yankees | 13c | 74,737$9,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,477.02 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 57,143$36,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,571.43 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 31,262$13,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,687.36 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 25,276$15,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,939.52 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 24,636$11,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,505.74 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed New York Yankees | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 60c | 18,640$11,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,183.8 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 59c | 18,542$10,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,904.69 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 35c | 14,335$5,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,068.56 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed New York Yankees | 23c | 10,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed New York Yankees | 21c | 9,524$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed New York Yankees | 7c | 9,076$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Yankees | 27c | 8,744$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.81 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked New York Yankees | 31c | 8,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 7,779$5,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 26c | 7,656$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.52 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked New York Yankees | 15c | 5,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed New York Yankees | 64c | 4,762$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047.61 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 4,755$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.34 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed New York Yankees | 66c | 4,666$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.08 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed New York Yankees | 63c | 3,968$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.75 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 3,610$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.81 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked New York Yankees | 64c | 3,571$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.72 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 3,437$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.04 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked New York Yankees | 59c | 3,096$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.4 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 2,970$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.18 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 2,645$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.55 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 2,600$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees | 36c | 2,333$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.74 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 62c | 2,239$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.53 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 2,224$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.39 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed New York Yankees | 51c | 1,990$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.79 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…649fbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 1,950$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 22c | 1,930$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.63 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,898$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.82 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,779$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.11 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,652$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.36 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked New York Yankees | 8c | 1,544$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 1,463$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.78 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 1,429$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.57 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 36c | 1,417$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.56 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 1,304$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked New York Yankees | 26c | 1,200$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 1,177$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.21 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,170$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.51 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 50c | 1,163$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.93 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed New York Yankees | 62c | 1,064$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.74 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 999.95$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.97 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 975.61$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.85 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 975.3$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.67 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 59c | 965.04$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.37 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 962.64$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.14 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 928.26$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 900$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed New York Yankees | 59c | 881.61$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.15 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed New York Yankees | 11c | 822.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 790$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.1 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed New York Yankees | 27c | 750$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 749.97$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.48 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 729.65$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.6 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 729.28$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.57 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked New York Yankees | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed New York Yankees | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed New York Yankees | 64c | 559.75$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.24 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed New York Yankees | 59c | 547.46$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 528.96$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.77 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…69aabacked New York Yankees | 23c | 521.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed New York Yankees | 59c | 516.69$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.85 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x262a…cd1dbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 507.66$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked New York Yankees | 35c | 399.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 388.35$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.71 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 382.21$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.68 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 381.36$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 360$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.3 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed New York Yankees | 59c | 353$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.27 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…27d8backed New York Yankees | 4c | 349.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Yankees | 26c | 346.03$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed New York Yankees | 7c | 344.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed New York Yankees | 59c | 339$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed New York Yankees | 59c | 336.94$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.91 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 322.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.8 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed New York Yankees | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 317.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.07 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed New York Yankees | 59c | 316.17$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.54 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 310.67$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.1 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 80c | 310.55$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 78cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked New York Yankees | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked New York Yankees | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 292$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…fa39backed New York Yankees | 23c | 291.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 282.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.47 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…b21cbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 276.54$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.