MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x258017d7bed013fbe8a6c616dbf26c7c874323117286c6584ca72afd207bd1a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $429,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 53c | 122,516$64,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,532.25 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,000 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 20,432$11,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,895.61 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 43c | 11,652$4,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,968.13 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 9,591$4,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,383.09 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 9,197$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.95 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 7,938$4,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.47 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under | 53c | 7,654$4,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.22 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 47c | 7,206$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.59 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 6,310$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.69 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 51c | 4,157$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.13 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 2,405$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 1,926$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.22 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 32c | 1,364$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.44 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 79c | 1,346$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.32 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 60c | 1,137$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 48c | 1,104$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.78 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 47c | 1,037$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.77 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 47c | 1,002$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.94 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 20c | 829.11$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 779.71$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.26 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 50c | 699.29$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.29 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 48c | 659$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.32 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5e…185ebacked Under | 75c | 649.92$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 643.82$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.81 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 57c | 630.64$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.42 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 47c | 591$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.77 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 47c | 585$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 49c | 371.88$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.22 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 49c | 326.83$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 54c | 276.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 266.87$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.43 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 48c | 249$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.52 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 54c | 238.5$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 68c | 232.88$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.74 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 48c | 228.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 51c | 186.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.93 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Over | 49c | 184.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 49c | 169.39$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Under | 54c | 166$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 35c | 136.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…846bbacked Under | 78c | 134.43$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 48c | 131.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 48c | 117.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 54c | 110.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 55c | 104.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 486 | 51.6%251 W · 235 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…0de6backed Under | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Under | 53c | 101.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 206 | 57.8%119 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 42c | 97.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Over | 44c | 97.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Over | 29c | 91.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 292 | 51%149 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 42c | 86.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 54c | 82.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 38c | 80.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 39c | 70.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 47c | 65.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 39c | 61.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 52c | 59.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Over | 48c | 55.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…2b4fbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 48c | 42.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Over | 33c | 41.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 52c | 39.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 49c | 36.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Over | 35c | 35.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 37c | 29.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 49c | 28.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 38c | 27.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 24.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Under | 76c | 22.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Under | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcb…548fbacked Under | 55c | 20.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed53…456cbacked Under | 68c | 20.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York YankeesSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.