TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8987…44d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Cricket, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT5664.3%36 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.95
Lexington: Andre Ilagan vs Sebastian Gorznybacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$51.32
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Edas Butvilasbacked Edas Butvilas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+82.6%+$72.4
Lexington: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$33.22
Hagen: Tom Gentzsch vs Henri Squirebacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$33.43
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Kenta Miyoshibacked Kenta Miyoshi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.14
Hagen: Elmer Moeller vs Carlos Tabernerbacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.86
Istanbul 2: Koki Matsuda vs Gijs Brouwerbacked Koki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.16
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$32.2
Istanbul 2: Ilia Simakin vs Florent Baxbacked Ilia Simakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$36.39
Hagen: Lorenzo Giustino vs Jerome Kymbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$33.56
Plovdiv 2: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs George Lazarovbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$38.11
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.65
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguetbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$32.1
Lexington: Andres Martin vs Millen Hurrionbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$38.91
Lexington: Rei Sakamoto vs Michael Mmohbacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$31.56
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Ivan Marrero vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.69
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Marko Topobacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.29
Plovdiv 2: Yannick Alexandrescou vs Petr Brunclikbacked Petr Brunclik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.39
Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.23
Istanbul 2: Paul Inchauspe vs Koki Matsudabacked Koki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$76.85
Plovdiv 2: Samuele Pieri vs Gerard Campana Leebacked Samuele Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.8
Warsaw: Vendula Valdmannova vs Susan Bandecchibacked Vendula Valdmannova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$43.6
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Aziz Dougazbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$72.19
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhardbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$65.2
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT5554.5%30 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$34.04
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.36
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$18.9
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$24.12
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$23.19
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.61
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.81
Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padresbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$27.45
Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$98.94
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$100.44
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.42
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$65.36
Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.98
Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$67.62
Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.98
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.1
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$76.24
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$84.77
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.26
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.07
Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$146.88
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.72
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 14.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$67.73
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.2
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$134.25
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: MI London vs Trent Rocketsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$33.11
The Hundred, Women: Southern Brave vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$35.74
Caribbean Premier League: Jamaica Kingsmen vs Antigua And Barbuda Falconsbacked Jamaica Kingsmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.25
T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Colombo Kapsbacked Galle Gallants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$68.39
The Hundred: London Spirit vs MI Londonbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$52
The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs MI Londonbacked MI London · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$42.95
T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Kandy Royalsbacked Colombo Kaps · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$40.17
The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Birmingham Phoenixbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$36.62
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Firebacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick78cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$26.61
CA Boca Juniors vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.