Other European Leagues · resolved market
Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa05838ac26735a71c63d04c14213139996603055bec299864eee53387095023d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 62c | 5,894$3,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.91 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 48c | 4,984$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.2 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 3,949$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.11 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Over | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 40c | 2,773$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.89 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 42c | 2,427$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Over | 52c | 2,317$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 50c | 2,090$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 28c | 1,358$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.18 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,291$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.04 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…8b41backed Under | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…72e7backed Over | 46c | 671$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 45c | 604.7$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.87 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 470.13$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.86 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 48c | 414.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.75 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 41c | 398.9$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.55 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 49c | 376.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.72 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 40c | 376.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 48c | 209.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 58c | 173$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 169.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 56c | 151.39$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.61 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 74c | 132.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 128.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 27c | 126.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 98.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Under | 80c | 98.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…c0f6backed Under | 59c | 83.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 49c | 67.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Over | 47c | 63.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 48c | 58.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Over | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…7d46backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 48.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 48.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 49c | 43.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Under | 53c | 38.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 43c | 33.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 48c | 33.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 48c | 31.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 62c | 31.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 53c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 50c | 30.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 46c | 29.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 40c | 27.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 72c | 26.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 50c | 23.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Under | 63c | 20.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 63c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 2.5this page
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: Mjallby AIF O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-1.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: Mjallby AIF (-1.5)IF Elfsborg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.