Other European Leagues · resolved market
Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90bcb1fd96d41423159e2469acdd430911e2ddf80ba93d835e123daedcde0285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes | 52c | 4,500$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 3,766$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.14 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 2,074$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.8 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 41c | 1,842$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.38 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 304.83$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.42 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 59c | 204.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Yes | 50c | 156.05$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 46c | 151.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 59c | 132.07$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 61c | 113$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed No | 59c | 111.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 49.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 52c | 32.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 52c | 30.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 23.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 74c | 22.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 56c | 22.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 55c | 19.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: Mjallby AIF O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-1.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: Mjallby AIF (-1.5)IF Elfsborg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.