Other European Leagues · resolved market
Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ecbea2082bea75bbf99c0367a174422c9c6b40a700441346971d024d77eb484
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 5,977$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.89 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 41c | 5,512$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.11 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 40c | 3,697$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.16 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 34c | 1,890$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.32 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Over | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 33c | 1,100$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.95 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 74c | 503.98$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.95 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 20c | 439.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.77 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 51c | 350$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.39 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 58c | 280.01$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 61c | 232.48$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…4bfbbacked Over | 55c | 176.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 56c | 115.18$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 48c | 108.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 59c | 87.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…851ebacked Over | 40c | 85.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 44c | 64.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 75c | 53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…0924backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 72c | 47.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 55c | 45.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Over | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Under | 59c | 17.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 72c | 16.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5this page
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: Mjallby AIF O/U 1.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IF Elfsborg (-1.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: Mjallby AIF (-1.5)IF Elfsborg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.