Europa Conference League · resolved market
Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bb1dac81ec59a44e04a99197e3849054cce806fa31d6362859acbb69a1c465c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 58c | 2,100$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.99 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 2,071$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.42 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 34c | 1,945$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.86 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 1,109$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.09 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 18c | 1,076$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.87 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…f5e0backed Under | 6c | 514.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 9c | 444.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 8c | 365.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 62c | 254.17$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.62 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4b…ba66backed Under | 9c | 156.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc6…d5e0backed Under | 9c | 133.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Over | 71c | 102.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 29c | 97.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…b21cbacked Over | 71c | 90.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 75c | 66.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…473ebacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…84bcbacked Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 0.5this page
- Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hibernian FC (-1.5)KF Shkëndija 79 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.