Europa Conference League · resolved market
Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f7d7467e5c997c0b3181205572758f1a7ab31f2ee8fae3b19129a2891f37ea7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 44c | 3,086$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.44 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 76c | 2,629$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.11 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 2,347$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.6 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 1,868$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.75 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 1c | 1,843$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 1,211$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.49 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 23c | 577.72$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.03 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 472.32$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.16 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 38c | 233.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 50c | 193.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 43c | 184.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 77c | 175.59$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 70cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 24c | 118$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 22c | 103.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Under | 68c | 73.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 70.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 78c | 64.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 50c | 60.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -15.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 75c | 60.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 56.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Under | 80c | 56.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 25c | 55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 43c | 41.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…6497backed Over | 51c | 26.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 50c | 23.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 50c | 23.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…eedbbacked Over | 76c | 15.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 1.5this page
- Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 0.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hibernian FC (-1.5)KF Shkëndija 79 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.