TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: Hibernian FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
KF Shkëndija 79of Hibernian FC, KF Shkëndija 79
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,006
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,006 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Hibernian FC34c1,904$638 inLost-$638.452,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed KF Shkëndija 7977c756.69$581 inWon+$175.392,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed KF Shkëndija 7960c460.45$274 inWon+$186.2681440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed KF Shkëndija 7959c282$166 inWon+$115.621,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed KF Shkëndija 7957c259.73$149 inWon+$111.141,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0962…6e40backed Hibernian FC43c232.56$100 inLost-$1001650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed KF Shkëndija 7960c97.08$58 inWon+$39.3250154.7%274 W · 227 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed KF Shkëndija 7959c95.23$56 inWon+$39.0465535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed KF Shkëndija 7959c93$55 inWon+$38.1338144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked KF Shkëndija 7960c63.2$38 inWon+$25.438952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed KF Shkëndija 7960c41$25 inWon+$16.439357.5%226 W · 167 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Hibernian FC40c40$16 inLost-$167650%38 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed KF Shkëndija 7960c38.24$23 inWon+$15.31,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed KF Shkëndija 7960c33.66$20 inWon+$13.461,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed KF Shkëndija 7960c26.66$16 inWon+$10.6623653%125 W · 111 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked KF Shkëndija 7980c25$20 inWon+$570239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed KF Shkëndija 7958c19.26$11 inWon+$8.0918940.2%76 W · 113 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.