MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63710c6b832c3221e9924b204308ee871fd9e44a5ee5d15f6d321c8b61e1a33f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39af…dd9dbacked Under | 4c | 18,700$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe506…7c70backed Under | 58c | 8,392$4,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,867.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 42c | 4,702$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.07 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 3,380$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.34 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 2,786$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.97 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Under | 1c | 2,018$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 69 | 7.2%5 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed Under | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 59c | 1,906$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.39 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 42c | 1,024$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.92 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Over | 52c | 977.95$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.42 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 953$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.5 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 57c | 925.13$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.32 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 57c | 823.68$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 47c | 660.81$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.58 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Under | 64c | 581.54$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.02 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 59c | 566.58$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.28 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 64c | 555.19$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 26c | 494.64$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.27 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 15c | 422.4$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.4 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 59c | 420.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 398.19$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.35 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 60c | 331.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.67 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Over | 51c | 323.51$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.52 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 59c | 271.19$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 29c | 202.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.81 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 43c | 195$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 59c | 194.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.51 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 65c | 181.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 61c | 176.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.74 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 73c | 166.44$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 42c | 157.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 75c | 152$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 57c | 143.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 42c | 106.13$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 45c | 102.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 59c | 99.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 59c | 99.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Under | 57c | 97.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…26a0backed Under | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 39c | 96.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 21c | 84.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 58c | 79.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 59c | 76.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Under | 65c | 67.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Over | 40c | 56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Over | 40c | 52.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Under | 57c | 52.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e76…dd6bbacked Under | 56c | 45.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 41c | 45.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Under | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 42c | 40.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 42c | 38.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Over | 53c | 35.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…2dbabacked Under | 57c | 34.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Under | 60c | 33.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 42c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Over | 41c | 29.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 59c | 29.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb1…2fefbacked Under | 53c | 20.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 65c | 17.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fe…a931backed Under | 78c | 17.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.